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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2025-05-27 Planning PACKET Planning Commission Meeting Agenda ASHLAND PLANNING COMMISSION MEETING AGENDA Tuesday, May 27, 2025 Note: Anyone wishing to speak at any Planning Commission meeting is encouraged to do so. If you wish to speak, please rise and, after you have been recognized by the Chair, give your name and complete address for the record. You will then be allowed to speak. Please note the public testimony may be limited by the Chair. I. CALL TO ORDER 7:00 p.m., Civic Center Council Chambers, 1175 E. Main Street II. ANNOUNCEMENTS 1.Staff Announcements 2.Advisory Committee Liaison Reports III.PUBLIC FORUM Note: To speak to an agenda item in person you must fill out a speaker request form at the meeting and will then be recognized by the Chair to provide your public testimony. Written testimony can be submitted in advance or in person at the meeting. If you wish to discuss an agenda item electronically, please contact PC-public-testimony@ashland.or.us by May 27, 2025 to register to participate via Zoom. If you are interested in watching the meeting via Zoom, please utilize the following link: https://zoom.us/j/93228874966 IV.DISCUSSION ITEMS 1.Walkable Design Stands Draft Code 2.Transportation System Plan (TSP) Public Engagement Plan V. EGISLATIVE PUBLIC HEARING Economic Opportunities Analysis Update VI. OPEN DISCUSSION VII. ADJOURNMENT Next Meeting Date: June 10, 2025 If you need special assistance to participate in this meeting, please contact Derek Severson at planning@ashlandoregon.gov or 541.488.5305 (TTY phone number Notification at least three business days before the meeting will enable the City to make reasonable arrangements to ensure accessibility to the meeting in compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act. Page 1 of 1 Total Page Number: 1 Total Page Number: 2 _________________________________ Total Page Number: 3 Total Page Number: 4 Total Page Number: 5 Total Page Number: 6 Total Page Number: 7 Total Page Number: 8 City of Ashland Climate Friendly and Equitable Communities Walkable Design Standards Draft Ordinance Amendments May 1, 2025 Online Resources Ashland Walkable Design Standards Project Page https://www.ashlandoregon.gov/walkabledesign Oregon Walkable Design Standards Guidebook https://www.oregon.gov/lcd/CL/Documents/CFECWalkableDesignStan dards.pdf Total Page Number: 9 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 18.2.3.100 Drive-Up Use Wheredrive-upusesareallowed,theyaresubjecttoallofthefollowingcriteria. A. Drive-up uses are allowed only in the C-1 zone, and they are limited to the area east of a line drawn perpendiculartoAshlandStreetattheintersectionofAshlandStreetandSiskiyouBoulevard.The numberofdrive- upusesshallnotexceed the12inexistenceon July1,1984. B. Drive-upusesaresubjecttothefollowingstandards: 1.Theaveragewaitingtimeinlineforeachvehicleshallnotexceedfiveminutes.Failureto maintainthis average waiting time may be grounds for revocation of the approval. 2.All facilities providing drive-up service shall provide a waiting area to accommodate at least two customer vehicles outside of the queue immediately beyond the service window or provide other satisfactory methods to allow customers requiring excessive waiting time to receive service. 3. A meansofegressforvehicularcustomerswhowishtoleavethewaitinglineshallbeprovided. 4.The grade of the stacking area to the drive-up shall either be flat or downhill to eliminate excessive fuel consumption and exhaust during the wait in line. 5.Thedrive-upshallbedesignedtoprovideasmuchnaturalventilationaspossibletoeliminate the buildup of exhaust gases. Stackingareashallbeprovidedtoensurethatpublicrights-of-wayarenotobstructed.. 6. Stacking lanes shall be designed so that they do not prevent access toparking spaces or blockthe public right-of-way. The minimum length of stacking lanes shall be 160 feet for a single stacking laneand80 feet per lane when there is more than one stacking lane. A stacking lane is measured between the lane entrance and the service area. 7. All driveway entrances, including stacking lane entrances, shall be at least 50 feet from any street intersection. If a drive-through facility has frontage on two streets, the drive- through facilities shall receive access from the street with the lower classification. 8.Service areas and stacking lanes shall not be located between the building and a street lot line. 9. Drive-up uses shall provide at least one walk-up pedestrian service area. Examples of a walk-up service area include an indoor service area directly accessible from a public street or an outdoor walk-up service window. Walk-up service areas shall be accessible by customers arriving on foot, using a mobility device, or by bicycle. Customers using walk-up service area shall have the same or better access to goods and services as customers using the drive-up service. If the walk-up service area is limited to an outdoor service window, it shall meet the following standards: a.The walk-up service area shall not also be used by vehicles. Walk-up service may be provided by facility staff or by automatic teller-style machines. 1of 18 Total Page Number: 10 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 b.Service access for pedestrians and bicycles shall be subject to Pedestrian and Access Circulation Standards in Chapter 18.4.3.090. c.The walk-up service area shall be connected to the street by a walkway or a pedestrian plaza. Plazas and pedestrian areas may be counted as floor area for the purposes of meeting the minimum FAR as provided in AMC 18.4.2040.C.1.a. 710. Thesoundlevelofcommunicationssystemsshallnotexceed55decibelsatthepropertyline andshall otherwise comply with the Ashland Municipal Code regarding sound levels. 811. Drive-upusesmaybetransferredtoanotherlocationinaccordwithallrequirementsofthis section.The numberofdrive-upwindowstallsshallnotexceedoneperlocation,evenifthe transferredusehadgreater than one stall. 912. A ministerialDrive-Up Transferpermitshallbe obtainedforthetransfer ofanydrive-upuses whensuch transfer is not associated with a Site Design Review or Conditional Use Permit application in order to document transfer of the use. 1013. Drive-up uses discontinued without a Drive-Up Transfer permit shall be deemed to have expired after beingunusedforsixmonths.Discontinuationof a drive-upuseisconsideredto haveoccurredwhentheStaff Advisordocumentsthedrive-up useashavingceasedon site through a planning applicationreview,or upon on-site verification. 1114. Allcomponentsof a drive-up useshallberemovedwithin 60daysofdiscontinuation ofthe usethrough abandonment, transfer, relocation, or redevelopment. C . Drive-up uses are prohibited in the Historic District Overlay except that the four existing nonconforming financialinstitutiondrive-upusesinoperationintheHistoricDistrictOverlayasof August7,2012mayredevelop or relocate within the C-1 and C-1-D zones in the Historic District Overlay subject to the following additional requirements: 1.Relocationorredevelopmentof a drive-upusewithinthe C-1 or C-1-D zonesintheHistoric District OverlayshallbesubjecttoSiteDesignReviewinchapter18.5.2through a TypeII procedureinsection 18.5.1.060. 2.Relocatedorredevelopeddrive-upusesshallbeplacedon a secondarybuildingelevation,and accessed for an alley or driveway. 3.Drivewaysservingrelocated orredevelopeddrive-up usesshallnotenterfrom orexitto a higherorder street frontage or through a primary building elevation. Driveways or queuing lanes shall not be placed between a building and the right-of-way other than an alley. 4.No demolition of or exterior change to a building considered to be a historic resource shall be permitted to accommodate the relocation or redevelopment of a drive-up use. 5.Regardless of the number of drive-up windows/lanes in use in the current location, with a relocation or remodel the number of windows/lanes shall be reduced to one. (Ord. 3229 § 3, amended, 12/19/2023) 2of 18 Total Page Number: 11 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 18.2.5.090 Standards for Single-Family Dwellings and Duplexes Thefollowingstandardsapplytonewsingle-familydwellingsandduplexesconstructedinthe R-1, R- A. 1-3.5, R-2,and R-3 zones;thestandardsdonotapplytodwellingsintheWRorRRzones. Single-familydwellingsandduplexessubjecttothissectionshallutilizeatleasttwoofthefollowing B. design features to provide visual relief along the front of the residence: Dormers; 1. Gables; 2. Recessedentries; 3. Coveredporchentries; 4. Cupolas; 5. Pillarsorposts; 6. Baywindow(min.12"projection); 7. Eaves(min.6"projection); 8. Off-setsinbuildingfaceorroof(min.16").(Ord.3199 § 11,amended,06/15/2021) 9. Entry Orientation. Single-family dwellings and duplexes located within 40 feet of a street lot C. line constructed in the R-1, R1-3.5, R-2, and R-3 zones shall provide at least one main entrance that meets the following standards. Any detached structure for which more than 50 percent of its street-facing façade is separated from the street property line by a dwelling is exempt from meeting these standards. The entrance shall be within 8 feet of the longest street-facing façade of the building; 1. and The entrance shall either face the street; be at an angle of up to 45 degrees from the 2. street;or open onto a covered porch that shallbe no less than six feet in depth and eight feet in width - deep enough to allow a person to stand while the door is opening and large enough to allow at least one person to sit facing the street. Transparency.A minimum of 15% of the ground-levelwall area of any wall that is within 30 D. feet of a street lot line between 2 and 8 feet above sidewalk grade must be transparent. For the purposes of this standard, “transparent” means meeting a visible transmittance index (VTI) of a least 0.60. This standard shall apply to both street frontages on corner lots. For an area to be considered transparent, the following standards must be met. Windows and/or clear glass within doors may be used to meet this standard. 1. Transparent areas shall be calculated based on transparent areas only, excluding any 2. framing, interior grids, mullions, or sashes. Required windows must be clear glass and not mirrored, frosted, reflective, or treated in 3. 3of 18 Total Page Number: 12 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 such a way to block visibility into the building. Windows into storage areas, mechanical and utility areas, and garbage and recycling 4. areas do not qualify. Windows into garages do qualify. Garages. The following standards apply to garages, carports, canopies, and other E. permanent and temporary structures used for parking or storing vehicles, including those parking and vehicle storage structures accessory to detached single-family dwellings. The standards are intended to balance residents’ desire for a convenient, safe, and private vehicle access to their homes with the public interest in maintaining safe and aesthetically pleasing streetscapes. The standards therefore promote pedestrian safety and visibility of public ways, while addressing aesthetic concerns associated with street-facing garages. For the purpose of this subsection, a garage opening is considered to be facing a street where the opening is parallel to or within 45 degrees of the street right-of-way line. AlleysandSharedDrives.Where a lotabuts a rearorsidealley,or a shareddriveway, 1. includingflag drives, the garage or carport opening(s) for that dwelling shall orient to the alley or shared drive, as applicable, and not a street.Garages fronting or accessed from the alley shall have a minimum rear yard setback of four feet Garage Setback. Where no alleys are present, garages shall be located a minimum of 20 2. feet from the street lot line.A garage entrance shall not be closer to the street lot line than a façade that encloses living area along the same street frontage, except the garage entrance may extend up to 6feet in front of a façade that encloses living area if there is a covered front porch having dimensions of not less than 6feet in depth and 8 feet in width and the garage entrance does not extend beyond the roof of the porch. Width of Garage Opening. The maximum allowed width of a garage opening is 22 feetor 3. 50% of the width of the street-facing façade, whichever is less. Setback for Multiple Garage Openings. Where three or more contiguous garage 4. entrances face the same street, the garage opening closet to a side property line shall be recessed at least 2 feet behind the adjacent opening(s). Side-loaded garages are exempt from this standard. 18.4.2.030 Residential Development A.Purpose and Intent. For new multifamily residential developments, careful design considerations must be made to assure that the development is compatible with the surrounding neighborhood. For example, the use of earth tone colors and wood siding will blend a development into an area rather than causing contrast through the use of overwhelming colors and concrete block walls. 1.Crime Prevention andDefensibleSpace. a.Parking Layout. Parking for residents should be located so that distances to dwellings are minimized. However, avoid designs where parking areas are immediately abutting dwelling units becausethereislittleornotransitionfrompublictoprivateareas. Parkingareasshouldbeeasilyvisible from adjacent areas and windows. 4of 18 Total Page Number: 13 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 b.OrientationofWindows.Windowsshouldbelocatedsothatvulnerableareascanbe easilysurveyed by residents. c.Service and Laundry Areas. Service and laundry areas should be located so that they can be easily observedbyothers.Windowsandlightingshouldbeincorporatedto assuresurveillanceopportunities. Mailboxesshouldnotbelocatedindarkalcoves outofsight.Barrierstopolicesurveillancesuchastall shrubsandfencesshouldbe avoided. d.Hardware. Reliance solely upon security hardware in lieu of other alternatives is discouraged. e.Lighting.Sitedevelopmentshouldutilizelightingprudently.Morelightingdoesnot necessarilymean better security. Lighting should be oriented so that areas vulnerable to crime are accented. f.Landscaping.Plantmaterialssuchashigh shrubsshouldbeplaced sothat surveillanceof semi- publicandsemi-privateareasisnotblocked.Thornyshrubswill discouragecrimeactivity.Lowshrubs and canopy trees will allow surveillance, hence, reduce the potential for crime. B.Applicability. Exceptasotherwiserequiredbyanoverlayzoneorplandistrict,thefollowing standardsapply toresidentialdevelopment pursuanttosection18.5.2.020. Seeconceptualsite plan ofmultifamilydevelopment in Figure 18.4.2.030. C.BuildingOrientation. Residentialbuildings that are subject to the provisions of this chapter shall Where the site is adjacent to two or more streets, conform to all of the following standards. these standards shallbe met on the frontage of the higher order street. If both streets have the same classification, the applicant may choose on which street to meet the standard. See also solar orientation standards in section 18.4.8.050. 1.Building Orientation to Street. Dwelling units shall have their primary orientation toward a shall have a street. Where residentialbuildings arelocatedwithin20 feetof a street,they primaryentranceopening toward the street and connected to the right-of-way via an approved walkwayshall have at least one main entrance for each building that meetsthe following standards. a.The entrance shall be within 8 feet of the longest street-facing façade of the building. b. The entrance shall either face the street; be at an angle of up to 45 degrees from the street; face a courtyard that abuts the street that shall be at least15 feet in width; or open onto a covered porch that shall be at least 25 square feet in area. c.The entrance shall connect to the right of way via an approved walkway. 2.Limitation on Parking Between Primary Entrance and Street. Automobile circulation or off-street parking isnotallowedbetweenthebuildingandthestreet.Parkingareasshallbelocatedbehind buildings, oronone or both sides. 3. Build-to Line. Where a new building is proposed in a zone that requires a build-to line or maximum front setbackyard,exceptasotherwise requiredforclearvision at 5of 18 Total Page Number: 14 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 intersections,thebuilding shallcomplywiththe build-to line standard. 3. Ground Floor Dwellings. The following standard applies to residential developments with ground floor dwelling units that are10 feet or closer to a street lot line. The intent of the standard is to create inviting and interesting ground floors that activate the street while providing an adequate level of privacy to the unit. Residential buildings subject to this to the provisions of this chapter shall meet the following standards: a. A minimum of 50% of dwelling units on the ground floor abutting a street lot line shall have a main entrance that is either accessed from a public sidewalk that faces the street; faces a courtyard that abuts the street that shall be at least 15 feet in width; or opens onto a covered porch that shall be at least 25 square feet in area. b. Where a building is located on a corner lot, the standard above shall be met on the frontage of the higher order street. c. Main entrances providing direct access to dwelling units shall be set back a minimum of 5 feet and a maximum of 10 feet from the street lot line and provide at least two of the following within the setback to provide a transition from the public realm to the private realm: i.A wall or fence that is 18 to 36 inches highwith a gate or other opening that connects the approved walkway to the right of way; ii.Landscaping that meets the Landscaping and Screen Standards in Chapter 18.4.4.030not exceeding 36 inches in height at full growth; iii.One small canopy tree between 1.5 and less than 6 inches in diameter per entrance; or iv. Individual private open space of at least 48 square feet designed so that a 4- foot by 6-foot dimension will fit entirely within it. 4. Transparency. The following standards apply to the wall areaof the ground-level of any street-facing façades that are within 20 feet of a street lot line or a pedestrian amenity space. A minimum of 15% of the area of the ground-level, street-facing façade between 2 and 8 feet above sidewalk grade must be transparent. For the purposes of this standard, “transparent” means meeting a visible transmittance index (VTI) of a least 0.60.The following standards must be met for an area to be considered transparent: a.Windows and/or clear glass within doors may be used to meet this standard. b.Transparent areas shall be calculated based on transparent areas only, excluding any framing, interior grids, mullions, or sashes. c.Required windows must be clear glass and not mirrored, frosted, reflective, or treated in such a way to block visibility into the building. d.Windows into storage areas, mechanical and utility areas, and garbage and recycling areas do not qualify. Windows into garages do qualify. 6of 18 Total Page Number: 15 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 D.Garages. Thefollowingstandards applytogarages,carports, canopies,andotherpermanent and temporary structuresusedforparkingorstoringvehicles,includingthoseparkingandvehicle storagestructuresaccessoryto detached single-family dwellings. The standards are intended to balance residents’ desire for a convenient, safe, and private vehicle access to their homes with the public interest in maintaining safe and aesthetically pleasing streetscapes. The standards therefore promote pedestrian safety and visibility of public ways, while addressing aestheticconcerns associatedwithstreet-facinggarages.Forthepurposeofthissubsection, a garageopeningis considered to be facing a street where the opening is parallel to or within 45 degrees of the street right-of-wayline. 1.AlleysandSharedDrives.Where a lotabuts a rearorsidealley,or a shareddriveway,including flag drives, the garage or carport opening(s) for that dwelling shall orient to the alley or shared Garages fronting and or accessed from the alley shall drive, as applicable, and not a street. have a minimum rear yard setback of four feet 2.SetbackforGarageOpeningFacingStreet.The following standards do not apply to garages The minimum setback for a garage (or carport) opening facing a oriented to an alley. street is 20 feet. This provision does not apply to alleys. a.The minimum setback for a garage (or carport) opening facing a street is 20 feet. b.A garage entrance shall not be closer to the street lot line than a façade that encloses living area along the same street frontage, except the garage entrance may extend up to 6 feet in front of a façade that encloses living area if there is a covered front porch having dimensions of not less than six feet in depth and eight feet in width and the garage entrance does not extend beyond the roof of the porch 3.Width of Garage Openings. The combined width of garage openings facing the street must be less than 50% of the width of the street-facing building façade. This standard applies only to the street-facing façade on which the main entrance is located. E.Building Materials. Building materials and paint colors should be compatible with the surrounding area. Very brightprimary or neon-type paint colors, which attract attention to the building or use, are unacceptable. F.Streetscape. Onestreettreechosenfromthe streettreelistshallbeplaced foreach30feetof frontage for that portion of the development fronting the street pursuant to subsection 18.4.4.030.E. G.Landscaping and Recycle/Refuse Disposal Areas. Landscaping and recycle/refuse disposal areas shall be provided pursuant to chapter 18.4.4. H.OpenSpace. Commonand/orprivateopenspaceisrequiredtobeprovidedpursuanttosection 18.4.4.070. 7of 18 Total Page Number: 16 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 18.4.2.40Non-Residential Development \[…\] B. BasicSiteReviewStandards. Exceptasotherwiserequiredbyanoverlayzoneorplandistrict,the following requirements apply to commercial, industrial, non-residential and mixed-use development pursuant to section 18.5.2.020.SeeconceptualsiteplanofbasicsitereviewdevelopmentinFigure 18.4.2.040.B.6. 1.OrientationandScale. Buildings shall have their primary orientation toward the street and not a parking area. a. Automobile circulationoroff-streetparking isnotallowedbetween thebuildingand the street.Parkingareasshall be locatedbehindbuildings, ortooneside.SeeFigure 18.4.2.040.B.1. A building façade or multiple building facades shall occupy a large majority of a b. project’s street frontage as illustrated in Figure 18.4.2.040.B.6, and avoid site design that incorporates extensive gaps betweenbuilding frontagescreatedthrougha combinationofdriveway aprons,parkingareas,or vehicle aisles.Thiscanbe addressed by,butnotlimited to,positioningthewider sideofthebuilding ratherthan the narrow side of the buildingtoward the street. In the case of a corner lot, this standard applies toboth street frontages. Spaces between buildings shall consist of landscaping and hard durable surface materials to highlight pedestrian areas. Buildingentrancesshallbeorientedtowardthestreetandshallbeaccessedfrom c. a publicsidewalk. Theentranceshallbedesignedtobeclearlyvisible,functional, andshallbeopentothepublicduringall business hours. See Figure 18.4.2.040.B.1. Building entrances shall be located within 20 feet of the public right-of-way to which d. they are required to be oriented. Exceptions may be granted for topographic constraints, lot configuration, designswhere a greatersetbackresultsinanimproved accessorforsiteswithmultiplebuildings,such as shopping centers, where other buildings meet this standard. Where a building is located on a corner lot, its entrance shall be oriented toward the e. higher order streetortothelotcorneratthe intersectionofthestreets.The building shall belocatedasclosetothe intersection corner as practicable. Publicsidewalksshallbeprovidedadjacentto a publicstreetalongthestreetfrontage. f. g. Thestandardsinsubsections18.4.2.040.B.1.athroughdf, above,maybewaivedifthe buildingisnot accessed by pedestrians, such as warehouses and industrial buildings without attached offices, and automotive service stations. 2. Transparency. A minimum of40% of the area of the ground-level, street-facing façade between 2 and 8 feet above sidewalk grade shallbe transparent. For the purposes of this section, “transparent” means a minimum visible transmittance of at least 0.60. The following standards must be met for an area to be considered transparent. 8of 18 Total Page Number: 17 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 a. Windows and/or glass within doors may be used to meet this standard. b.Transparent areas shall be calculated based on transparent areas only, excluding any framing, interior grids, mullions, or sashes. c.Required windows shallnot be mirrored, frosted, reflective, or treated in such a way to block visibility into the building. d.Windows into storage areas, vehicle parking areas, mechanical and utility areas, and garbage and recycling areas do not qualify. 3. Weather Protection. Weather protection, such aspermanent awnings, canopies, overhangs, or architectural features providing protection from the rain or shade during periods of hot weather, shallbe provided along 50% of the length of the ground level façade that is within 5 feet of street, plaza, or other public or common open space. a. The weather protection shallproject out at least 5feet from the adjoining wall. b. Weather protection shall have a minimum clearance height above the sidewalk or ground surface of 8 feet, and may encroach into the street right-of-way. c.Weather protection may be adjusted where necessary to accommodate street trees required in 18.4.4.030.E. 2 4. Streetscape.Onestreettreechosenfromthestreettreelistshallbeplacedforeach30feetof frontage for that portion of the development fronting the street pursuant to subsection 18.4.4.030.E. 3 5. Landscaping. a.Landscapeareasatleasttenfeetinwidthshallbufferbuildingsadjacenttostreets, exceptthe bufferisnotrequired intheDetailSiteReview, HistoricDistrict,and Pedestrian Placeoverlays. b.Landscapingandrecycle/refusedisposalareasshallbeprovidedpursuanttochapter 18.4.4. 4 6. Designated Creek Protection. Where a project is proposed adjacent to a designated creek protection area, the project shall incorporate the creek into the design while maintaining required setbacks and buffering, and complying with water quality protection standards. The developer shall plant native riparian plants in and adjacent to the creek protection zone. 5 7. NoiseandGlare.Artificiallightingshallmeettherequirementsofsection18.4.4.050. Compliancewith AMC 9.08.170.Crelated to noise is required. 68. ExpansionofExistingSitesandBuildings.Forsitesthatdonotconformtothestandardsof section18.4.2.040(i.e.,nonconformingdevelopments),anequalpercentageofthesitemustbe madetocomplywith the standards of this section as the percentage of building expansion. For example, if a building area isexpanded by 25 percent, then 25 percent of the site must be brought up to the standards required by this document. C. DetailedSiteReviewStandards. DevelopmentthatiswithintheDetailSiteReviewoverlayshall,in 9of 18 Total Page Number: 18 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 addition tocomplyingwiththestandardsforBasicSiteReviewinsubsection18.4.2.040.B, above, conformtothefollowing standards.Seeconceptualsite planofdetailsitereview developmentin Figure 18.4.2.040.C.1andmapsofthe DetailSiteReviewoverlayinFigures18.4.2.040.C.2through 5. 1.OrientationandScale. a.Developmentsshallhave a minimumFloorAreaRatio(FAR)of0.50.Where a siteis one-halfanacre or greater in size, the FAR requirement may be met through a phased development plan or a shadow plan that demonstrates how development may be intensified over time to meet the minimum FAR. See shadowplanexamplein Figure18.4.2.040.C.1.a. Plazasandpedestrianareasshallcountasfloorareafor the purposes of meeting the minimum FAR. b.Buildingfrontagesgreaterthan100feetinlengthshallhaveoffsets,jogs,orhaveother distinctive changes in the building façade. c.Any wall that is within 30 feet of the street, plaza, or other public or common open space shall contain at least 20 percent of the wall area facing the street in display areas, windows, or doorways. Windows must allow view into working areas, lobbies, pedestrian entrances, or display areas. Blank walls within 30 feet of the street are prohibited. Up to 40 percent of thelength of the building perimeter can be exempted for this standard if oriented toward loading or service areas d.c. Buildings shall incorporate lighting and changes in mass, surface or finish to give emphasis to entrances. ed. Infill or buildings, adjacent to public sidewalks, in existing parking lots is encouraged and desirable. f. Buildingsshallincorporatearcades,roofs,alcoves,porticoes,andawningsthat protectpedestrians from the rain and sun 2.Transparency. a.Any wall that is within 30 feet of the street, plaza, or other public or common open space shall contain transparency of at least 2050%of thestreet-facing façade between 2 and 8 feet above sidewalk gradewall areafacing the street in display areas,in the form of windows or doorways. Windowsmustallowview intoworkingareas,lobbies,pedestrianentrances,ordisplayareas.Upto40 percentofthelengthofthebuildingperimetercan be exempted for this standard if oriented toward loading or service areas.For the purposes of this section, “transparent” means a minimum visible transmittance of at least 0.60. b. Windows and/or glass within doors may be used to meet this standard. Transparent areas shall be calculated based on transparent areas only, excluding any framing, interior grids, mullions, or sashes. c.Required windows shallnot be mirrored, frosted, reflective, or treated in such a way to block visibility into the building. 10of 18 Total Page Number: 19 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 d.Windows into storage areas, vehicle parking areas, mechanical and utility areas, and garbage and recycling areas do not qualify. 3. Weather Protection. Weather protection (e.g., permanent awnings, canopies, overhangs, or architectural features providing protection from the rain or shade during periods of hot weather) shallbe provided along 50% of the length of the ground level façade that is within 5 feet of a street, plaza, or other public or common open space. a. The weather protection shallproject out at least 5feet from the adjoining wall. b. Weather protection shall have a minimum clearance height above the sidewalk or ground surface of 8 feet, and may encroach into the street right-of-way. c. Weather protection may be adjusted where necessary to accommodate street trees required in 18.4.4.030.E. 2.4. Streetscape. a.Hardscape(pavingmaterial)shallbeutilizedtodesignate“people”areas.Sample materialscouldbe unit masonry, scored and colored concrete, grasscrete, or combinations of the above. b.A building shall be set back not more than five feet from a public sidewalk unless the area is used forpedestrianactivities suchasplazasoroutside eatingareas,orfor a required publicutilityeasement. This standard shallapply to both street frontages on corner lots. If more than one structure is proposed for a site, at least 65 percent of the aggregate building frontage shall be within five feet of the sidewalk. 3.5. BufferingandScreening. a.Landscapebuffersandscreeningshallbelocatedbetweenincompatibleusesonan adjacentlot. Those buffers can consist of either plant material or building materials and must be compatible with proposed buildings. b.Parkinglotsshallbe bufferedfromthemainstreet, crossstreets,andscreenedfrom residentially zoned land. 4. 6. BuildingMaterials. a.Buildingsshallincludechangesinreliefsuchascornices,bases,fenestration,and flutedmasonry, for at least 15 percent of the exterior wall area. b.Brightorneonpaintcolorsusedextensivelytoattractattentiontothebuildingor useare prohibited.Buildingsmaynotincorporateglassas a majorityofthebuilding skin. D.AdditionalStandardsforLargeScaleProjects. IntheDetailSiteReviewoverlay,developments thatare greater than 10,000 square feet in gross floor area or contain more than 100 feet of building frontage shall, in additiontocomplyingwiththestandardsforBasic(subsection 18.4.2.040.B) andDetail(subsection18.4.2.040.C) SiteReview,above,conformtothefollowing standards.Seeconceptualelevationoflargescaledevelopmentin Figure18.4.2.040.D.1and conceptualsiteplanoflargescaledevelopmentinFigure18.4.2.040.D.2. 11of 18 Total Page Number: 20 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 1.OrientationandScale. a.Developments shalldivide large building masses into heights and sizes that relate to human scale byincorporatingchanges inbuildingmasses ordirection,sheltering roofs, a distinctpatternof divisions on surfaces, windows, trees, and small scale lighting. b.OutsideoftheDowntownDesignStandardsoverlay,newbuildingsorexpansionsof existing buildings in the Detail Site Review overlay shall conform to the following standards: i.Buildingssharing a commonwallorhavingwallstouchingatorabovegradeshall be considered as one building. ii.Buildingsshallnotexceed a buildingfootprintareaof45,000squarefeetas measuredoutside of the exterior walls and including all interior courtyards. For the purpose of this section an interior courtyard means a space bounded on three or more sides by walls but not a roof. iii.Buildingsshallnotexceed a grossfloorareaof45,000squarefeet,includingall interiorfloor space, roof top parking, and outdoor retail and storage areas, with the following exception: Automobile parking areas located within the building footprint and in the basement shall not count toward the totalgross floor area. For the purpose of this section, “basement” means any floor level below the first story in a building. “First story” shall have the same meaning as provided in the building code. iv.Buildingsshallnotexceed a combinedcontiguousbuildinglengthof300feet. c.InsidetheDowntownDesignStandardsoverlay,newbuildingsorexpansionsof existingbuildings shall not exceed a building footprint area of 45,000 square feet or a gross floor area of 45,000 square feet, including roof top parking, with the following exception: Automobile parking areas located within the building footprint and in the basement shall not count toward the total gross floor area. For the purpose of this section, “basement” means any floor level belowthefirststoryin a building.“Firststory”shall havethesamemeaningasprovidedinthebuilding code. 2.DetailSiteReviewPlazaSpaceStandards. a.Onesquarefootofplazaspaceshall berequiredforeverytensquarefeetofgross floorarea, except for the fourth gross floor area. b.Withinthe C-1-D zone,orDowntownDesignStandardsoverlay,noplazaspace shallberequired. c. A plazaspaceshallincorporateatleastfourofthefollowingelements: ittingSpace – atleastonesittingspaceforeach500squarefeetshallbeincluded i.S intheplaza. Seatingshallbe a minimumof16inchesinheightand30inchesin 12of 18 Total Page Number: 21 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 width.Ledgebenchesshallhave a minimum depth of 30 inches. ii. A mixtureofareasthatprovidebothsunlightandshade. iii.Protectionfromwindbyscreensandbuildings. iv.Trees – providedinproportion tothespaceat a minimum ofonetreeper500 square feet,at least two inches in diameter at breast height. v.Waterfeaturesorpublicart. vi.Outdooreatingareasorfoodvendors. TransitAmenities.Transitamenities,busshelters,pullouts,anddesignatedbikelanes 3. shallberequired in accordance with the Ashland Transportation Plan and guidelines established by the Rogue Valley Transportation District. 13of 18 Total Page Number: 22 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 18.4.3.80Vehicle Area Design \[…\] VehicularAccessandCirculation. Theintentofthissubsectionistomanageaccesstolanduses A. andon-site circulation and maintain transportation system safety and operations. For transportation improvement requirements, refer to chapter 18.4.6, Public Facilities. Applicability.Thissectionappliesto allpublicstreetswithin theCityandtoall propertiesthat 1. abutthese streets. The standards apply when developments are subject to a planning action (e.g., site design review, conditional use permit, land partition, performance standards subdivision). Site Circulation. New development shall be required to provide a circulation system that 2. accommodates expectedtrafficonthesite.Allon-sitecirculationsystemsshallincorporate street-likefeaturesasdescribedin subsection18.4.3.080.B.4.Pedestrianconnectionsonthe site,includingconnections throughlargesites,and connections between sites and adjacent sidewalks must conform to the provisions of section 18.4.3.090. Intersection and Driveway Separation. The distance from a street intersection to a driveway, or 3. from a driveway to another driveway, shallmeet the minimum spacing requirements for the street’s classification in theAshlandTransportationSystemPlan(TSP)asillustratedinFigures 18.4.3.080.C.3.aand18.4.3.080.C.3.b. a.Innocaseshalldrivewaysbecloserthan24feetasmeasuredfromthebottomofthe existingor proposed apron wings of the driveway approach. b.Partitionsandsubdivisionsofpropertylocatedinan R-2, R-3, C-1, E-1,CM,or M-1 zoneshallmeet thecontrolledaccessstandardssetforthbelow.Ifapplicable,cross accesseasementsshallberequired so that access to all properties created by the land division can be made from one or more points. c.Streetanddrivewayaccesspointsinan R-2, R-3, C-1, E-1,CM,or M-1 zoneshallbe limitedtothe following: Distancebetweendriveways i. Onboulevardstreets:100feet Oncollectorstreets:75feet Onneighborhoodstreets:24feet Distancefromintersections. ii. Onboulevardstreets:100feet Oncollectorstreets:50feet Onneighborhoodstreets:35feet d.AccessRequirementsforMultifamilyDevelopments.Allmultifamilydevelopments 14of 18 Total Page Number: 23 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 whichwillhave automobile trip generation in excess of 250 vehicle trips per day shall provide at least two driveway accesspointstothedevelopment. Tripgenerationshall bedeterminedbythemethods establishedby the Institute of Transportation Engineers. SharedUseofDrivewaysandCurbCuts. 4. a.Plans submitted for developments subject to a planning action shall indicate how driveway intersections with streets have been minimized through the use of shared driveways and all necessary accesseasements.Wherenecessaryfrom trafficsafety andaccessmanagement purposes,theCitymay require joint access and/or shared driveways in the following situations: Forsharedparkingareas. i. Foradjacentdevelopments,whereaccessontoanarterialislimited. ii. Formultifamilydevelopments,anddevelopmentsonmultiplelots. iii. b.Developmentssubjectto a planningactionshallremoveallcurbcutsanddriveway approachesnot shown to be necessary for existing improvements or the proposed development. Curb cuts and approaches shall be replaced with standard curb, gutter, sidewalk, and planter/furnishings strip as appropriate. c.Ifthesiteisservedby a sharedaccessoralley,accessformotorvehiclesmustbefrom theshared access or alley and not from the street frontage. AlleyAccess.Where a propertyhasalleyaccess,vehicleaccessshallbetakenfromthealleyand 5. driveway approaches and curb cuts onto adjacent streets are not permitted. D.DrivewaysandTurn-AroundDesign. Drivewaysandturn-aroundsprovidingaccesstoparking areasshall conform to the following provisions: A drivewayfor a single-familydwellingor a duplexshallbe a minimumofnineexceptthat 1. drivewaysover50feetinlengthorserving a flaglotshallmeetthewidthanddesign requirementsofsection 18.5.3.060.Accessoryresidentialunitsareexemptfromthe requirementsofthissubsection. 1.Driveway Width.The following standards apply to the width of driveways. Driveway width shall be measured lengthwise along the property line, and such measurement shall not include the width of wings connecting the top of the curb to the lowered curb or apron. a.Driveways directly serving a single-width parking stall or garage shall be a minimum of 9 feet and a maximum of 12 feetin width. c.For a double-width vehicle parking area that is shared by two detached units, the maximum driveway width shall be 12 feet. For a double-width vehicle parking area that is shared by two attached units, driveways shall be shared using a taper with a maximum driveway width of 14 feet. There must be a recorded easement guaranteeing reciprocal access and maintenance for all affected properties. 15of 18 Total Page Number: 24 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 c.All other driveways serving parking areas with seven or fewer parking spaces shall be a minimum of 12 feet and a maximum of 24 feet in width. d. Parking areas of more than seven parking spaces shall be served by a driveway constructed to: facilitate the flow of traffic on or off the site, with due regard to pedestrian and vehicle safety; be clearly and permanently marked and defined; provide adequate aisles or turn-around areas so that all vehicles may enter the street in a forward manner; and a driveway width as follows: A drivewayaccommodatingtwo-wayvehicularcirculationonsiteshallbe20 i. feetinwidth. A drivewayconfiguredforone-wayvehicularcirculationonsite,which ii. providesseparatedingress andegressaccessontothepublic street,maybe reducedto15 feetinwidthupon demonstrationthat adequate fire apparatus access is provided. e. Drivewaysover50feetinlengthorserving a flaglotshallmeetthewidthand designrequirementsofsection 18.5.3.060. f. Accessoryresidentialunitsareexemptfromtherequirementsofthis subsection. Parkingareasofsevenor fewerspacesshallbeserved by a drivewayof 12 feet,except 2. forthose drivewayssubjecttosubsection18.4.3.080.D.1.Accessoryresidentialunitsare exemptfromtherequirements of this subsection. Parkingareasofmorethan sevenparkingspacesshall beservedby a driveway 3. constructedto:facilitate the flow of traffic on or off the site, with due regard to pedestrian and vehicle safety; be clearly and permanentlymarkedand defined;provide adequate aislesorturn-aroundareas sothatallvehiclesmay enter the street in a forward manner; and a driveway width as follows: A drivewayaccommodatingtwo-wayvehicularcirculationonsiteshallbe20feetin b. width. A drivewayconfiguredforone-wayvehicularcirculationonsite,whichprovides c. separatedingress andegressaccessontothepublic street,maybereducedto15 feetinwidthupon demonstrationthat adequate fire apparatus access is provided. 4 2. Thewidthofdrivewaysandcurbcutsintheparkrowandsidewalkareashallbeminimized. 5 3 . For single-family lots and multifamily developments, the number of driveway approaches and curb cuts shall not exceed one approach/curb cut per street frontage. For large multifamily developments and other uses, the number of approaches and curb cuts shall be minimized where feasible to address traffic safety or operations concerns. 6 4. Vertical Clearances. Driveways, aisles, turn-around areas and ramps shall have a minimum vertical clearance of 13.5 feet for their entire length and width. Parking structures are exempt from this requirement. 7 5. Vision Clearance. No obstructions may be placed in the vision clearance area except as set 16of 18 Total Page Number: 25 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 forth in section 18.2.4.040. 8 6 . Grades for new driveways in all zones shall not exceed 20 percent for any portion of the driveway. If required by the City, the developer or owner shall provide certification of driveway grade by a licensed land surveyor. 9 7. All driveways shall be installed pursuant to City standards prior to issuance of a certificate of occupancy for new construction. 10 8 .Driveways for lots created or modified through a land division or property line adjustment, including those for flag lots, shall conform to the requirements of chapter 18.5.3, Land Divisions and Property Line Adjustments. \[…\] 18.4.6.060 Transit Facilities A. Dedication of Public Use Areas. Where a proposed park, playground, trail, or other public use shown in a plan adopted by the City is located in whole or in part in a subdivision, the City may require the dedication of this area to the City, or the designation of this area on the final plat for future dedication to the City, provided that the impact of the development on the City park system is roughly proportional to the dedication, conforms to the requirements of this ordinance, and is consistent with applicable parks and trails master plans. B. Projects that meet the following thresholds will be reviewed to determine if transit facilities are required to beprovided: 1. Projects on development sites within 100 feet of an existing or planned transit stop or located on an existing or planned transit route. 2. Residential developments with more than 25 dwelling units. This includes any development application for any residential building type, including but not limited to, residential or mixed-use subdivisions and multifamily development. C. Applicable projects may be required to provide additional transit facilities where substantial evidence ofprojected transit ridership or other transit impacts is presented by Rogue Valley Transitto conclude both that a nexus exists between the proposed development and public transit and that the degree of impact provides reasonable justification. The City may require the developer to grant a public easement or dedicate a portion of the lot for transit facilities. D. If, upon review of an application for development meeting or exceeding thethresholds in 18.4.6.060.A.above, Rogue Valley Transportation District (RVTD) recommends,based on the Ashland Transportation Plan,that a bus stop be constructed or that an easement or dedication be provided for a bus stop consistent with the TSP or an RVTD-approved plan at the time of development, the City may require such improvement. Requirements may include existing facilities that are in disrepair or in need of replacement. 17of 18 Total Page Number: 26 Ashland Municipal CodeCFEC Walkable Design Standards Amendments DRAFTMay 1, 2025 18.6.1 Definitions Driveway .The area that provides vehicular access to a site from a street or the area that provides vehicular circulation on a site. Drive-Up Uses. Drive-up uses are defined as any establishment which by design, physical facilities, service, or by packaging procedures encourages or permits customers to receive services, obtain goods other than automobile fuel, or be entertained while remaining in their motor vehicles. The components of a drive-up use are regulated as part of such facility and include kiosks, canopies, or other structures; windows; stalls; and queuing lanes and associated driveways. Garage. A covered permanent structure designed to provide shelter for vehicles, and which is accessory to a dwelling. Carports are considered garages. Ground-Floor Dwelling Unit. A residential unit with the entrance, front or rear, that is within fivefeet of the finished grade. The distance to finished grade is measured vertically at a right angle from the doorsill to the finished grade. Main Entrance. A main entrance is the entrance to a building that is designed to facilitate ingress and egress for the highest volume of building users. Generally, each building has one main entrance, but if design features do not make it possible to determine which entrance is the main entrance, all entrances providing the same capacity of ingress and egress shall be treated as main entrances. Walk-Up Service Area.An area, either internal or external to a building, that is directly accessible from a public street by customers arriving on foot, by bicycle, or using a mobility device. Walk-up service may be provided by facility staff or by automatic teller machines and must offer the same or better access to goods and services to users as customers using drive-up service. 18of 18 Total Page Number: 27 Number: 28 Page Total Number: 29 Page Total Number: 30 Page Total Number: 31 Page Total Number: 32 Page Total Number: 33 Page Total Number: 34 Page Total Number: 35 Page Total Number: 36 Page Total Number: 37 Page Total Number: 38 Page Total Number: 39 Page Total Number: 40 Page Total Number: 41 Page Total Number: 42 Page Total Number: 43 Page Total Number: 44 Page Total Number: 45 Page Total Number: 46 Page Total Number: 47 Page Total Number: 48 Page Total Number: 49 Page Total Number: 50 Page Total Number: 51 Page Total Number: 52 Page Total _________________________________ Total Page Number: 53 Total Page Number: 54 Total Page Number: 55 Total Page Number: 56 Total Page Number: 57 Total Page Number: 58 Total Page Number: 59 Total Page Number: 60 Total Page Number: 61 Total Page Number: 62 Total Page Number: 63 Total Page Number: 64 _________________________________ Total Page Number: 65 Total Page Number: 66 ASHLAND PLANNING DEPARTMENT STAFF REPORT Before the Planning Commission May 27, 2025 PLANNING ACTION: PA-L-2025-00017 APPLICANT: City of Ashland LOCATION: N/A - Legislative ZONE DESIGNATION: N/A COMP. PLAN DESIGNATION: N/A ORDINANCE REFERENCES: 660-009-0015, Oregon Revised Statues- Economic Opportunity Analysis 18.5.9 Comp Plan, Zoning & LUO Amendments 18.6.1 Definitions APPLICATION DATE: April 21, 2025 DLCD NOTICE: April 21, 2025 PUBLICMEETINGNOTICE: April 30, 2025 MEETING DATE: May 27, 2025 120-DAY DEADLINE: N/A (*Type III applications are not subject to 120-day limits) PROPOSAL: A request to adopt the 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis update prepared by Community Attributes Inc. (CAI) as a technical supporting document to the City of Ashland Comprehensive Plan. I.Introduction 1)The current application The City of Ashland has completed an updated Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) in accordance with Statewide Planning Goal 9 and OAR 660-009. The EOA is intended as a technical study and does not establish new policy, goals, or regulatory changes. Instead, it serves as a foundational resource to inform future strategic planning efforts, comprehensive plan amendments, and economic development initiatives by providing an updated factual basis for decision-making. Prepared by the consulting firm Community Attributes Inc. (CAI), with grant support from the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD), this 2025 EOA replaces the City’s previously adopted 2007 analysis. The document presents a comprehensive, data- driven evaluation of Ashland’s economic trends, employment land needs, and development opportunities for the 2025–2045 planning horizon. Planning Action:PA-L-2025-00017Ashland Planning Department – Staff Report (bg) 15 Page of Total Page Number: 67 2)Background Ashland’s prior Economic Opportunities Analysis was prepared in 2007 and reflected the economic and land use conditions of that time. In the nearly two decades since, the city and region have experienced significant changes in employment patterns, demographic composition, real estate markets, and land development constraints. The 2008 recession, COVID-19 pandemic, the rise of remote work, inflationary pressures, and broader housing market dynamics have reshaped the economic landscape in ways that warrant a full reassessment of Ashland’s land capacity to accommodate future employment growth. In response to these changes and to remain in compliance with Statewide Planning Goal 9, the City initiated an update to its EOA in 2024. CAI was selected through a competitive process to complete the analysis, with financial assistance provided by a DLCD technical assistance grant. The analysis was completed in May 2025 and draws upon employment data from the Oregon Employment Department, land capacity estimates from the City’s adopted 2024 Buildable Lands Inventory, stakeholder interviews, regional surveys, and extensive community engagement. The result is a current and locally tailored assessment of Ashland’s economic base and the availability of land for commercial and industrial uses over the 20-year horizon. II.Key Findings The Economic Opportunities Analysis concludes that Ashland has a total of 181 net buildable acres of employment land, compared to a projected 20-year demand of approximately 76 acres. This indicates an overall surplus of employment land within the city and its urban growth boundary. However, while the overall supply exceeds forecasted demand, the analysis identifies specific deficiencies in the location, size, and type of available parcels—particularly a lack of small, centrally located commercial sites suited for visibility-dependent retail and tourism uses. In contrast, there is greater capacity in the Employment (E-1) and Industrial (M-1) zones, with larger sites available that may not align with the needs of small or service-oriented businesses. Employment growth is projected to be concentrated in sectors such as Leisure and Hospitality, Health Care, and Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate. Total employment within Ashland’s urban growth boundary is expected to increase from 8,644 in 2025 to 10,045 by 2045. III.Ashland’s Economic Character: Strengths and Constraints The Economic Opportunities Analysis identifies that Ashland benefits from several distinctive assets that contribute to its economic potential. The presence of Southern Oregon University and the Oregon Shakespeare Festival anchor Ashland’s identity as a regional center for arts, culture, and higher education. The city’s highly educated population—62% of residents hold a bachelor’s degree or higher—offers a skilled labor pool that supports creative industries, professional services, and remote work. In addition, Ashland’s walkable downtown, scenic surroundings, and quality-of-life amenities continue to attract visitors and new residents seeking a small-town environment with urban features and cultural amenities. At the same time, the city faces structural constraints that limit economic expansion. The availability of affordable and workforce housing is one of the most frequently cited barriers to Planning Action:PA-L-2025-00017Ashland Planning Department – Staff Report (bg) 25 Page of Total Page Number: 68 attracting and retaining employees. Employers in sectors such as education, health care, and food services report difficulty filling positions due to high housing costs and limited inventory. While the city has an adequate overall supply of employment land, challenges remain in assembling development-ready sites, especially in desirable locations like the historic downtown which is substantially developed. Key opportunity sites, such as the Croman Mill District and the Railroad Property, have long held promise for redevelopment but remain largely inactive due to ownership dynamics, infrastructure limitations, and environmental cleanup needs. In addition, feedback from local stakeholders indicates that perceptions of Ashland’s regulatory environment— particularly regarding permitting and zoning and community opposition to development— continue to present obstacles to business expansion or relocation. Together, these strengths and weaknesses underscore the need for deliberate, strategic economic planning. While the EOA does not prescribe policy, it provides critical baseline data to support future goal setting that builds on Ashland’s strengths while addressing longstanding constraints. IV. Regional and State Context Within the broader Rogue Valley and state of Oregon, Ashland occupies a unique position. The city’s population growth has been modest compared to nearby Medford and Jackson County as a whole. From 2010 to 2024, Ashland’s compound annual growth rate was 0.5%, while Medford grew at 1.2% annually. Ashland also has an older median age—48.2 years in 2022—compared to 42 in Jackson County and 39.5 in Medford, a demographic profile that contributes to lower labor force participation and a greater demand for services oriented toward seniors. Economically, the analysis shows Ashland diverges from its regional peers in several ways. The city has a higher share of jobs in the cultural, hospitality, education, and health care sectors, while Medford’s economy includes a broader mix of industrial and service-sector employment. In terms of commuting, Ashland functions both as an employment center and a residential base for workers employed elsewhere. Only 37% of Ashland residents work within the city, and 69% of jobs in Ashland are filled by workers commuting from outside the city limits. These patterns reflect regional interdependence but also highlight the mismatch between local job opportunities and the housing available for the city’s workforce. Compared to the state overall, Ashland has a more educated and older population, higher median housing costs, and a tighter real estate market. Although Oregon has seen steady growth in employment and housing production, Ashland’s constrained geography, high land costs , and urbanization strategy to maintain a compact urban form have moderated its growth and preserved its compact character. This unique profile reinforces the importance of planning tools like the EOA to ensure Ashland maintains an appropriate balance of livability, economic opportunity, and resource stewardship. IV.Procedural –Approval Criteria Plan Amendments and Zone Changes AMC 18.5.9.020 provides the Applicability and Review Procedure for Plan Amendments and Zone Changes. Because the proposal is legislative in nature approval criteria are not required. Planning Action:PA-L-2025-00017Ashland Planning Department – Staff Report (bg) 35 Page of Total Page Number: 69 Applications for Plan Amendments and Zone Changes are as follows: A.Type II. The Type II procedure is used for applications involving zoning map amendments consistent with the Comprehensive Plan map, and minor map amendments or corrections. Amendments under this section may be approved if in compliance with the Comprehensive Plan and the application demonstrates one or more of the following: 1.The change implements a public need supported by the Comprehensive Plan. 2.A substantial change in circumstances has occurred since the existing zoning or Plan designation was proposed, necessitating the need to adjust to the changed circumstances. 3.Circumstances relating to the general public welfare exist that require such an action. 4.Proposed increases in residential zoning density resulting from a change from one zoning district to another zoning district will provide 25 percent of the proposed base density as affordable housing consistent with the approval standards set forth in section 18.5.8.050.G. 5.Increases in residential zoning density of four units or greater on commercial, employment, or industrial zoned lands (i.e., Residential Overlay) will not negatively impact the City’s commercial and industrial land supply as required in the Comprehensive Plan, and will provide 25 percent of the proposed base density as affordable housing consistent with the approval standards set forth in section 18.5.8.050.G. 6.The total number of affordable units described in subsection 18.5.9.020.A.4 or 18.5.9.020.A.5, above, shall be determined by rounding down fractional answers to the nearest whole unit. 7.A deed restriction, or similar legal instrument, shall be used to guarantee compliance with affordable criteria for a period of not less than 60 years for units qualified as affordable rental housing, or 30 years for units qualified as affordable for-purchase housing. Subsections 18.5.9.020.A.4 and 18.5.9.020.A.5 do not apply to Council-initiated actions. B.Type III. It may be necessary from time to time to make legislative amendments in order to conform with the Comprehensive Plan or to meet other changes in circumstances or conditions. The Type III procedure applies to the creation, revision, or large-scale implementation of public policy requiring City Council approval and enactment of an ordinance; this includes adoption of regulations, zone changes for large areas, zone changes requiring comprehensive plan amendment, comprehensive plan map or text amendment, annexations (see chapter 18.5.8 for annexation information), and urban growth boundary amendments. The following planning actions shall be subject to the Type III procedure. 1.Zone changes or amendments to the Zoning Map or other official maps, except where minor amendments or corrections may be processed through the Type II procedure pursuant to subsection 18.5.9.020.A, above. Planning Action:PA-L-2025-00017Ashland Planning Department – Staff Report (bg) 45 Page of Total Page Number: 70 2.Comprehensive Plan changes, including text and map changes or changes to other official maps. 3.Land Use Ordinance amendments. 4.Urban Growth Boundary amendments. VI.Conclusion and Recommendations Staff recommend that the Planning Commission recommend to the City Council that they approve Planning Action PA-L-2025-00017, adopting the 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis as a technical supporting document to the Ashland Comprehensive The adoption of the updated 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) as a technical support document to the Economic Element of the City of Ashland Comprehensive Plan complies with Ashland Land Use Ordinance section AMC 18.5.9.010, which establishes the procedure for legislative amendments to the Comprehensive Plan. As required by this section, the EOA is adopted through a legislative process that includes public hearings before the Planning Commission and City Council. Adoption will satisfy state planning requirements under Goal 9 and OAR 660-009-0015, and provide the factual foundation for future discussions about zoning, economic development strategy, and employment land use policy. This action does not establish new policies or regulations, but instead incorporates the EOA as a planning resource to guide future decision- making. VII.Attachments Draft Ordinance 3265, EOA 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis, Community Attributes Inc., dated May 20, 2025 Outreach Summary of Public Engagement Process Planning Action:PA-L-2025-00017Ashland Planning Department – Staff Report (bg) 55 Page of Total Page Number: 71 ORDINANCE NO. 3265 AN ORDINANCE ADOPTING THE 2025 ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS AS A TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT TO THE ECONOMIC ELEMENT OF THE CITY OF ASHLAND COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Annotated to show deletions and additionsto the Ashland Municipal Code sections being bold lined throughbold underlined. modified. Deletions are , and additions are WHEREAS, Article 2. Section 1 of the Ashland City Charter provides: Powers of the City. The City shall have all powers which the constitutions, statutes, and common law of the United States and of this State expressly or impliedly grant or allow municipalities, as fully as though this Charter specifically enumerated each of those powers, as well as all powers not inconsistent with the foregoing; and, in addition thereto, shall possess all powers hereinafter specifically granted. All the authority thereof shall have perpetual succession. WHEREAS, The City of Ashland is required under Oregon Statewide Planning Goal 9 (Economic Development) and Oregon Administrative Rule (OAR) 660-009 to provide an adequate factual basis for employment land needs in its Comprehensive Plan. WHEREAS, The City of Ashland’s most recent Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) was completed in 2007, and a technical update is necessary to reflect current economic trends, employment projections, and land capacity over the next 20-year planning period. WHEREAS, The City, with technical assistance funding from the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD), retained Community Attributes Inc. (CAI) to prepare an updated Economic Opportunities Analysis. The final report, dated May 20, 2025, provides a comprehensive analysis of Ashland’s employment land supply and demand and includes findings on demographic and economic trends, buildable lands capacity, and employment forecasts consistent with Goal 9 and OAR 660-009. WHEREAS, The 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) does not establish new policies, zoning regulations, or land use designations. Rather, it is intended to serve as a technical support document to inform future amendments to the Ashland Comprehensive Plan and to support ongoing planning and policy development. WHEREAS, The Ashland Planning Commission conducted a duly noticed public hearing on May 27, 2025 reviewed the EOA, and recommended its adoption as a technical support document. WHEREAS, The Ashland City Council conducted a public hearing on June 3, 2025 and concluded that the 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis is consistent with the requirements of Statewide Planning Goal 9 and OAR 660-009 and supports the long-range economic development objectives of the City. 12 ORDINANCE NO. 3265 Page of Total Page Number: 72 THE PEOPLE OF THE CITY OF ASHLAND DO ORDAIN AS FOLLOWS: SECTION 1. The City of Ashland hereby adopts the 2025 Economic Opportunities Analysis, prepared by Community Attributes Inc. and dated May 20, 2025, as a technical support document to the Economic Element of the Ashland Comprehensive Plan, amending Chapter 7 – Economy, 7.08 Technical Reports as follows: The following reports are adopted by reference as part of the Economy Element of the Ashland Comprehensive Plan: (April 2007) (June 2025) 1. City of Ashland: Economic Opportunities Analysis. SECTION 2. The adopted EOA shall serve as the factual basis for future amendments to the City’s Comprehensive Plan and land use regulations relating to employment land needs, economic development, and Goal 9 implementation. SECTION 3.Severability. Each section of this ordinance, and any part thereof, is severable, and if any part of this ordinance is held invalid by a court of competent jurisdiction, the remainder of this ordinance shall remain in full force and effect. SECTION 4.Codification . Provisions of this Ordinance shall be incorporated in the City Code and the word “ordinance” may be changed to “code”, “article”, “section”, “chapter” or another word, and the sections of this Ordinance may be renumbered, or re-lettered, provided however that any Whereas clauses and boilerplate provisions (i.e. Sections 3-4) need not be codified and the City Recorder is authorized to correct any cross-references and any typographical errors. The foregoing ordinance was first read by title only in accordance with Article X, Section 2(C) of the City Charter on the _______day of____________________, 2025, and duly PASSED and ADOPTED this _______day of____________________, 2025 . PASSED by the City Council this ________ day of _______________________, 2025. ATTEST: __________________________________ Alissa Kolodzinski, City Recorder SIGNED and APPROVED this ________ day of __________________________, 2025. __________________________________ Tonya Graham, Mayor Reviewed as to form: ___________________________________ Johan Pietila, City Attorney 22 ORDINANCE NO. 3265 Page of Total Page Number: 73 City of Ashland Economic Opportunity Analysis May 20, 2025 Prepared by: Prepared for: Total Page Number: 74 Community Attributes Inc. tells data-rich stories about communities that are important to decision makers. President and CEO: Chris Mefford Project Manager: Elliot Weiss Analysts: Jolene Baldwin Carly Bednarski Kortney Cena Dominic Roche Carrianne Cusak Community Attributes Inc. 119 Pine St, Suite 400 Seattle, WA 98101 www.communityattributes.com C ONTENTS Executive Summary.......................................................................................................iv CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE ii DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 75 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 1 Background and Purpose ............................................................................................. 1 Economic Opportunity Assessment Requirements ....................................................... 1 Methods ....................................................................................................................... 2 Organization of Report ................................................................................................. 2 Overview of Existing Conditions in Ashland................................................................... 3 Geographic Setting ....................................................................................................... 3 People and Housing ...................................................................................................... 3 Local Land Use Setting .............................................................................................. 19 Climate ...................................................................................................................... 20 National, State, and Regional Economic Trends ............................................................ 22 Macroeconomic Indicators .......................................................................................... 22 Southern Oregon and the Rogue River Valley ............................................................ 23 Local Economic Characteristics and Trends .................................................................. 31 Industry and Workforce ............................................................................................. 31 Ashland’s Market Conditions ..................................................................................... 40 Employment Lands Sufficiency Assessment .................................................................. 47 Background ................................................................................................................ 47 Supply of Employment Land ...................................................................................... 49 Forecasted Employment Land Demand...................................................................... 53 Employment Lands Sufficiency .................................................................................. 55 Summary of Findings ................................................................................................. 59 Community Economic Development Priorities .............................................................. 61 Public Engagement .................................................................................................... 61 Key Engagement Findings ......................................................................................... 61 Strategic Themes and Implications for Policy ............................................................... 65 Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) Analysis ............................ 65 Strategic Themes ....................................................................................................... 69 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE iii DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 76 ES XECUTIVE UMMARY Ashland’s Existing Conditions Ashland is a compact city of approximately 21,600 residents, characterized by its pleasant downtown, cultural amenities, and opportunities for outdoor recreation. People and Housing Population growth has been relatively slow in Ashland, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.5% from 2010 to 2024—less than half of Medford’s 1.2% CAGR. Compared to the region and its nearby peers, Ashland’s population tends to be older, more educated, and more racially homogenous. Ashland’s median age is 48.2 in 2022 compared to 42 in Jackson County and 39.5 in Medford. As of 2023, small households make up the majority of Ashland’s community, with 78% of households consisting of one or two people. As of 2023, 45% of Ashland’s households were homeowners and 44% were renters, while 11% of housing units were vacant or partially vacant—including those used as short-term rentals or second homes. Household income in Ashland (as well as in Medford and Jackson County) has seen a slight increase over time with Ashland increasing at a CAGR of 4% from 2010 to 2022. The proportion of households in Ashland experiencing cost burden (or spending more than 30% of their income on housing costs) decreased at a CAGR of -2% from 2010-2023. According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD) Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy (CHAS) data, housing units are categorized by the maximum rent or home price affordable to households earning 30%, 50%, and 80% of area median income (AMI). For HUD CHAS data, the term “affordable housing” means that a household spends no more than 30% of its gross income on housing costs. In 2021, 26% of Ashland’s households earned less than 50% AMI, but only 12% of housing units were affordable at that income level. As of 2023, Ashland’s housing inventory includes 11,499 units, 59% of which are single-family homes. The median home sale price Ashland peaked at $690,000 in September of 2024. It has since dropped to $470,000 (as of last recorded data in March 2025). Homes also sell quickly in Ashland; as of March 2025, 43% of new listings in Ashland were sold within two weeks. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE iv DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 77 Land Use and Climate Commercial land comprises about 4% of Ashland’s land area, industrial land 1%, and employment-zoned land about 8%, with overlays and regulations limiting some development potential. The city faces multiple climate risks—wildfire, drought, and extreme heat were all rated as high-probability, high-vulnerability hazards in the 2024 hazard mitigation plan. National and Regional Economic Trends Macroeconomic Indicators National unemployment fell to 4.1% in 2024, returning to pre- pandemic lows, while labor force participation rebounded to 62.6%— still below early 2000s levels. Inflation rose sharply after 2020, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing 15% between 2020 and 2022; as of late 2024, CPI remained elevated at 175 (base 1999 = 100). The Federal Reserve’s policy response led to a sharp increase in the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which peaked at 5.31% in 2023 before easing slightly to 4.8% in 2024. Southern Oregon and the Rogue River Valley Oregon’s overall population growth has been steady, but Jackson and Josephine Counties ranked mid-range among counties, with Medford growing faster than Ashland post-2020. The regional economy is service-oriented, with Services, Retail Trade, and Education and Health each accounting for about 21–24% of private jobs in the Jackson-Josephine region as of 2021. Private employment does not include public jobs like government or public school positions Since 2010, Jackson County added over 14,000 private jobs, growing at a CAGR of 1.5%, with the fastest growth in Construction (+5.4% CAGR), Education (+4.1%), and Resources (+4.0%). Private employment does not include public jobs like government or public school positions In Ashland, the share of total workers who report working from home grew from 13.3% in 2010 to 21.1% in 2023, maintaining a higher rate than Medford or the region. High-growth, specialized industries in Jackson County include Sporting Goods (LQ >10), Healthcare Services, and Food and Beverage establishments, with strong local employment and growth. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE v DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 78 Local Economic Trends Workforce and Commuting Ashland’s workforce is highly educated: 62% of residents hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared to 28% in Medford. Commuting patterns show regional interdependence—only 37% of Ashland residents work in the city, while 69% of local jobs are filled by commuters from outside. Ashland’s jobs-to-housing unit ratio declined from 0.78 in 2013 to 0.74 in 2023. This ratio is lower than the region’s and is likely impacted by a relatively high share of senior residents, who may be more likely to be retired. The regional laborshed is highly dynamic, with workers often traveling to other cities for work. In 2022, industries with the highest net labor inflow included Accommodation and Food Services (+638), Educational Services (+596), and Retail Trade (+354), reflecting Ashland’s tourism and institutional economy. Industry and Employment Total employment in Ashland was 9,104 in 2022, with top sectors including Leisure and Hospitality, Retail, Education, and Health Care. From 2013 to 2023, private sector job growth was modest—growing at a 0.6% CAGR—with the fastest growth in Construction and related sectors (+9.9%), while industries such as Education and Wholesale Trade declined. Private employment does not include public jobs like government or public school positions. Ashland’s private employment is forecast to grow from 8,644 in 2025 to 10,045 by 2045, with the most growth in Leisure and Hospitality (+654 jobs), Health Care (+422), and Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (FIRE) (+165). Private employment does not include public jobs like government or public school positions. Commercial Market Commercial real estate has seen uneven performance—retail lease rates fell from a 2018 peak of $29.73/sqft to $20.99 in 2024, while vacancy remains low at 2%. Downtown Ashland retail has rebounded post-COVID, with lease rates at $17.00/sqft in 2024 and vacancy down to 1.6%, after a spike to 11.3% in 2021. Industrial vacancy increased sharply to 26.7% in 2024, due to new supply outpacing demand, while lease rates declined to $10.47/sqft from a 2023 peak of $13.59. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE vi DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 79 Employment Lands Sufficiency Ashland’s Buildable Lands Inventory (BLI), adopted in 2024, identified 181 net buildable acres of land designated for employment uses, including commercial, industrial, and employment zones. This analysis finds that, with a total net buildable supply of 181 acres of “employment lands” and only 76 total acres of demand projected for industrial and commercial uses, Ashland has a likely surplus of over 100 acres within the City and UGB urbanized area. However, there may be a shortage of small, centrally located commercial sites. While overall supply is sufficient, further analysis suggests a relative lack of small Downtown Commercial and mid-sized (1-5 ac) range commercial sites. Some of this demand could be absorbed by surplus E-1 employment lands; however, businesses that depend on visibility and foot traffic—such as those tied to the Oregon Shakespeare Festival—will continue to prefer prominent downtown locations. Improving pedestrian connectivity, signage, and branding between downtown and the northern E-1 node may help support business attraction in those areas. Ownership dynamics limit redevelopment of key opportunity sites. The Croman Mill and Railroad District properties represent the city’s largest groupings of buildable land, but lack of proactive ownership and incentives to sell have historically stalled redevelopment efforts. There is capacity to accommodate stronger-than-forecasted employment growth. If employment growth is greater than forecasts indicate in coming years, there will likely be sufficient land in Ashland to accommodate it given the surplus employment land supply identified within the City / UGB. In particular, certain segments within industrial – such as outdoor recreation manufacturing or craft food and beverage – may be worth consideration for targeted economic development efforts by Ashland to synergize with its evolving economic base. Community Economic Development Priorities This EOA was informed by widespread engagement of Ashland’s community including; interviews, focus groups, public forums with Ashland’s stakeholders and a regional survey which captured responses from residents and business interests in Ashland. Engagement covered a diverse range of perspectives including city leadership, developers, landowners, institutional partners, SOU students, and major employers in Ashland. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE vii DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 80 Downtown Revitalization Community members across stakeholder groups expressed strong interest in revitalizing Downtown Ashland as a vibrant hub for retail, culture, and civic life. Priorities included activating ground-floor spaces, supporting local businesses, improving public safety and perception, and investing in streetscape upgrades. Public-private partnerships and strategic use of city-owned land were identified as key tools to catalyze redevelopment. Economic Diversification Stakeholders emphasized the need to expand beyond a tourism- centered economy by supporting growth in health care, education, professional services, and the creative sector. There is interest in pursuing year-round employment opportunities and encouraging emerging industries suited to Ashland’s workforce and values. Participants highlighted the need for supportive infrastructure and available land to accommodate diverse business types. Housing Affordability and Workforce Retention Employers, institutions, and residents consistently identified housing affordability as a top barrier to retaining and attracting talent. Workforce instability was seen as a growing concern for local businesses, particularly in service and health care sectors. There is strong alignment between economic and housing goals, with support for policies that increase attainable housing options. Barriers to Development Developers and business owners noted challenges related to infrastructure readiness, zoning flexibility, and the permitting process. Stakeholders expressed concern that the city’s existing land inventory does not include enough large or easily developable sites. Suggestions included streamlining permitting and incentivizing redevelopment in already urbanized areas. Regional Coordination and Partnerships Participants across sectors called for improved coordination between the City, Southern Oregon University, Ashland School District, and regional economic partners. Students and young adults expressed a desire for stronger career pathways and a more inclusive role in civic life. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE viii DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 81 Better alignment between local education, housing, and economic development efforts was seen as essential to long-term success. Ashland’s Strengths and Opportunities Distinctive Assets and Identity Ashland’s cultural institutions, especially the Oregon Shakespeare Festival and Southern Oregon University, provide a unique identity and draw regional and national attention. The city’s walkable downtown, access to parks and recreation, and small-town character are consistently cited as quality-of-life strengths. Skilled and Engaged Workforce A highly educated population—62% with a bachelor’s degree or higher—creates a strong talent base for knowledge-sector and creative economy jobs. Local institutions, including SOU, provide a foundation for growing partnerships around talent development and job pathways. Economic Specialization and Tourism Strength in tourism, arts, and hospitality remains a key driver of local employment and business activity. Opportunities exist to build on creative economy assets and extend visitor spending into shoulder seasons or year-round models. Health and Education Sectors Ashland’s role as a hub for regional health care and education presents opportunities to grow jobs in these stable, high-value sectors. Investment in medical facilities and supportive services can further anchor the local economy. Sustainable Growth and Redevelopment Compact urban form, transit access, and sustainability goals create a strong platform for infill development and adaptive reuse. Mixed-use zones and employment overlays provide a foundation for creative redevelopment and incremental land use change. Regional Connectivity and Collaboration Ashland’s location along I-5 and near Medford offers opportunities for cross-jurisdictional collaboration and regional market access. Stronger partnerships across public agencies, businesses, and institutions can align resources and expand economic opportunity. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE ix DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 82 I NTRODUCTION Background and Purpose The City of Ashland requires an Economic Opportunity Analysis (EOA) as intended and funded by the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD). A strategic planning document, the EOA ensuresthat there is enough available land and adequate public improvements to realize economic growth for the next 20-year horizon. This requirement originates from Oregon’s Land Use program, established by Senate Bill 100 in 1973, which established the Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) and the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) and mandated that Statewide Planning Goals serve as the basis for local Comprehensive Plans. This EOA serves to meet the first key element required by State Planning Goal Nine, which requires local governments to ensure adequate land is zoned for industrial and commercial activities to support economic growth, sustain living wage jobs, and maintain quality of life within established urban growth boundaries. As the second-largest city in Jackson County, Ashland plays a unique role in the regional economy of the Rogue Valley. Home to both the Oregon Shakespeare Festival and Southern Oregon University, Ashland provides surrounding rural communities in Southern Oregon and Northern California with premier medical services, shopping centers, sports parks, access to two different airports, and a variety of tourism-based businesses. Through updating Ashland’s EOA, the city works to align projected employment growth with land needs and availability based on current data and extensive community engagement. Economic Opportunity Assessment Requirements An Economic Opportunity Assessment (EOA), as outlined in OAR 660-009- 0015, is a technical study that compares projected demand for land for industrial and other employment uses to the existing supply of such land. It helps communities implement their local economic development objectives and forms the basis for industrial and other employment development policies in the comprehensive plan. This rule requires inclusion of the following four interrelated elements: 1.Review of national, state, regional, county and local trends. 2.Identification of required site types expected to be needed to accommodate the expected employment growth 3.Inventory of industrial and other employment lands 4.Assessment of community economic development potential CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 1 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 83 5.There is also an optional fifth item, which is a strong encouragement for the EOA process to include a public visioning process (or similar). Each of these five items are covered throughout this EOA report, either as standalone sections or integrated across multiple sections. Methods This EOA integrates qualitative and quantitative data collection and analysis to meet the requirements outlined in OAR 660-009-0015. Qualitative findings are informed by community engagement feedback and activities, including: Interviews and focus groups of local civic leaders and businesses Public forums Committee meetings (including the City’s Committee for Community Involvement, CCI) Regional business and resident surveys Quantitative analysis draws from publicly available data sources, such as the U.S. Census Bureau, Oregon Employment Department and many others; as well as private sector vendor sources such as Placer.ai, Esri and others. All data are sourced and referenced throughout the report. Organization of Report Describes the Overview of Existing Conditions in Ashland. geographic setting of Ashland as well as outlines basic population, housing and land use information. Describes contextual National, State, and Regional, Trends. information on the larger economies affecting Ashland. Explores targeted employment, Local Characteristics and Trends. industry, workforce, and market data on Ashland and Jackson County. Summarizes key findings and Employment Lands Assessment. analysis based on Ashland’s commercial and industrial buildable lands inventory. Distills findings Community Economic Development Priorities. from stakeholder engagement. Details Competitive Outlook and Anticipated Demand for Land. land needed to accommodate local expressions of economic development trends using employment forecasts and economic development potential Synthesizes Strategic Themes and Implications for Policy. strategic themes from data collection and analysis, and refreshes Ashland’s goals and policies for economic development. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 2 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 84 OECA VERVIEW OF XISTING ONDITIONS IN SHLAND This section introduces the City of Ashland including it’s geographic setting, position and role in the Rogue Valley, and recent trends in community demographics, housing, land uses, and climate. Geographic Setting Ashland is located in the Rogue Valley of Southwestern Oregon. With approximately 21,600 residents, Ashland is the second largest city in Jackson County, behind Medford. Ashland is adjacent to Interstate-5, with other communities in the region including Medford, Phoenix, Talent, Central Point, and Grants Pass. Ashland is known regionally as a tourism hub—home to the Oregon Shakespeare Festival and an array of cultural, recreational, and culinary attractions. The city serves as a gateway to the surrounding mountains, offering access to walking and biking trails, winter recreation, and 17 city parks, including the iconic Lithia Park. Covering 4,256 acres, Ashland’s land use is predominantly residential, with a built environment characterized by single-family neighborhoods surrounding a compact, vibrant downtown that features specialty retail, fine dining, seasonal events, and Southern Oregon University. People and Housing Community Demographics Compared to the region and its nearby peers, Ashland’s population tends to be older, more educated, and more racially homogenous. However, regional demographic shifts, seen in Jackson County, Medford and Ashland, include a growing population and a growing proportion of seniors. As of 2022, this aging trend is more pronounced in Ashland than in Medford, while Ashland population growth is less pronounced than Medford’s. According to the Population Research Center at Portland State University, Ashland’s population grew from 20,095 in 2010 to 21,579 in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.5% (. Over the same Exhibit 1) timeframe, Medford saw a CAGR of 1.2%. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 3 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 85 Exhibit 1. Historic Population, Ashland, 2010 – 2024 Sources: State of Oregon, Population Research Center at Portland State University, 2010-2023; CAI, 2025. In 2022, Jackson County’s median age was 42 years old, while Medford’s was 39.5 and Ashland’s was 48.2. Ashland saw the 65+ population grow from 16% of the population in 2010 to almost 28% in 2022 (. Over the same Exhibit 2) period, Ashland’s working-age population decreased by about 6% and the population 19 and under dropped by about 8%. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 4 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 86 Exhibit 2. Change in Age Distribution, Jackson County, Medford, and Ashland, 2010 and 2022 Sources: American Community Survey(ACS), 2010 & 2022, CAI 2024. 1 Another demographic shift in Ashland’s population is a slow increase in racial diversity in the population. While 86% of Ashland’s community identified as white only in 2010, this proportion decreased by 4% by 2022.Jackson County and Medford also both experienced an increase in racial diversity from 2010 to 2022 with Jackson County’s white-only proportion decreasing by 6%, and Medford’s by 9%. In all geographies the largest non-white racial cohort in 2022 identified as Hispanic and Latino, making up 18% of Medford’s population and 10% of Ashland’s. Characteristics of Ashland’s Households As of 2023, Ashland’s households are largely small households, of 1-2 persons (78%) (). The prevalence of small households suggests a higher Exhibit 3 The Census Bureau’s ACS uses the "current residence" concept, meaning 1 individuals are counted at the address where they live or stay most of the time. Following this, students are counted in these ways: a) Students living on-campus (e.g., in dormitories or residence halls) are counted at their campus address. These facilities are classified as group quarters. b) Students living off-campus (e.g., in rented apartments) are counted at their off- campus residence. c) Students living at their parents' or guardians' home while attending college are counted at that home address. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 5 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 87 demand for smaller housing typologies which accommodate small households as opposed to larger structures. Exhibit 3. Households by Household Size, Ashland, 2023 Source: ACS 5-Year Estimates, 2023; CAI, 2025. The majority of households in Jackson County (61%) and the state of Oregon (59%) are owner-occupied in 2023 (. Ashland, however, shows a Exhibit 4) closer split between homeowners (45%) and renters (44%). The remaining 11% of units in Ashland are those which are not occupied as a primary residence, including second homes, short term rentals, or otherwise vacant properties. The higher proportion of units in Ashland which are not occupied as a primary residence, compared to other geographies, speaks to the impacts of short-term rentals and second homes in Ashland. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 6 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 88 Exhibit 4. Housing Tenure, Oregon, Jackson County, Medford and Ashland, 2023 Sources: American Community Survey, 2023; CAI 2024. The average household size for renters in Ashland was 2.22 people per household. For homeowning households, this value is higher at 2.56 people per household. The size of housing units tends to be larger for owner-occupied housing units than for renter-occupied units (). 75% of owner-occupied units in Exhibit 5 Jackson County have at least 3 bedrooms, compared to only 34% of renter- occupied housing units. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 7 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 89 Exhibit 5. Housing Unit Size by Tenure, Jackson County, 2023 Sources: American Community Survey, 2023; CAI, 2025. While Medford and Ashland’s median household income is lower than that of the county or the state, median household income increased at similar rates for all four areas from 2010-2023. The median annual household income in Ashland was $71,800 in 2023. This is comparable to Jackson County’s median income of $71,400, and lower than Oregon’s median annual income of $80,400. For HUD CHAS data, the term “affordable housing” means that a household spends no more than 30% of its gross income on housing costs. Housing costs include rent or mortgage payments plus utilities. The Area Median Income (AMI), a commonly accepted metric created by the US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) used for assessing housing affordability, is used to evaluate housing affordability and determine eligibility for subsidized housing. HUD sets income thresholds categorized as extremely low, very low, low, and median for households ranging from one to eight members. These income limits are specified only for particular metropolitan areas. shows the 2021 and 2025 income limits by Exhibit 6 household size in the Medford Metro Area, which includes Ashland and most of Jackson County. These metrics are used to understand the affordability of the existing housing stock in Ashland. For 1 person in Jackson County, the AMI for 2021 is $51,150 while low income is designated as $38,300 or less. By 2025, the median income for 1 person in Jackson County is $64,700 while low income is designated as $51,750 or less. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 8 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 90 Exhibit 6. HUD Household Income Limits, Jackson County, 2021& 2025 HUD Household Income Limits, Jackson County, 2021 Household Size (Persons in Family) Income Level 12345678 Extremely Low (30% AMI) $14,350$17,420$21,960$26,500$31,040$35,580$40,120$44,660 Very Low Income (50% AMI) $23,950$27,350$30,750$34,150$36,900$39,650$42,350$45,100 Low Income (80% AMI) $38,300$43,750$49,200$54,650$59,050$63,400$67,800$72,150 Median Income$51,150$58,500$65,800$73,100$78,950$84,800$90,650$96,500 HUD Household Income Limits, Jackson County, 2025 Income LevelHousehold Size (Persons in Family) 12345678 Extremely Low (30% AMI) $19,400$22,200$26,650$32,150$37,650$43,150$48,650$54,150 Very Low Income (50% AMI) $32,350$37,000$41,600$46,200$49,900$53,600$57,300$61,000 Low Income (80% AMI) $51,750$59,150$66,550$73,900$79,850$85,750$91,650$97,550 Median Income $64,700$73,900$83,150$92,400$99,800$107,200$114,600$121,950 Sources: HUD, 2025; CAI, 2025. shows the proportion of households in Ashland by income segment Exhibit 7 in 2021.According to HUD, a slight majority of Ashland’s households, (53%) in 2021 earned above 100% of Ashland’s area median income (AMI) in 2021, which was $73,100 for a household size of four persons (). 28% of Exhibit 6 Ashland’s households fell into the low income or very low-income categories (earning between 30%-80% the AMI), and 13% of Ashland’s households fell into the extremely low-income category, (earning 30% AMI or less). In 2021, more homeowners (70%) in Ashland make incomes at or higher than the AMI than renters (33%) ( & ) Exhibit 8Exhibit 9 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 9 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 91 Exhibit 7. Total Households by Area Median Income, Ashland, 2021 Source(s): CHAS 2017-2021; CAI 2025. Exhibit 8. Renting Households by Area Median Income, Ashland, 2021 Source(s): CHAS 2017-2021; CAI 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 10 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 92 Exhibit 9. Homeowner Households by Area Median Income, Ashland, 2021 Source(s): CHAS 2017-2021; CAI 2025. Cost burdened refers to a household that spends more than 30% of its income on housing costs, including rent or mortgage payments and utilities. Since 2010, Oregon, Jackson County, Medford and Ashland have all seen household income increase while cost burden due to housing decreased. As of 2023, at least 34% of households in Ashland are experiencing cost burden due to housing (). "Not calculated" means that the cost burden Exhibit 10 percentage could not be calculated for those housing units due to missing or unreliable income or housing cost data. This value may be impacted by 2 senior households who own their homes outright or report limited income by making affordability ratios difficult to calculate. Renters face higher rates of cost burden than homeowners. As of 2023, 48% of renting households in Ashland experienced cost burden compared to 21% of households which own their home (). Exhibit 11 3 “Not Calculated” category includes units where reported income was $0 (as this 2 makes cost ratios unreliable), unusual or inconsistent values triggered data suppression to preserve accuracy, or the unit was occupied without payment of rent or mortgage. “Not computed” values are often higher among renters because: Income is more 3 likely to be unreported, unstable, or very low, rent-free arrangements are more common, and housing and financial data may be less reliably reported CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 11 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 93 Exhibit 10. Housing Cost Burden, Ashland& Medford, 2010 & 2023 Sources: American Community Survey, 2010 & 2023; CAI 2024. Exhibit 11. Housing Cost Burden by Tenure, Ashland & Medford, 2023 Sources: American Community Survey, 2010 & 2023; CAI 2024. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 12 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 94 Housing in Ashland Of Ashland’s total housing stock (11,499 units in 2023), 10,264 or 89% are occupied. The remaining 1,235 units are classified as either vacant or partially vacant, which includes units for rent or sale that are not yet occupied at the time of the survey; units for seasonal, recreational, or occasional use (such as short-term rentals); and units intended for vacation or occasional use (such as second homes). Single-family homes make up 59% of Ashland’s total housing inventory (6,784 out of 11,499 units) (). This is slightly lower than Oregon’s Exhibit 12 proportion of single-family homes (62%). Multi-unit structures of five or more units make up approximately 17% of the housing stock. Exhibit 12. Housing Units by Structure Size, Ashland, 2023 Sources: ACS 5-Year Estimates, 2023; CAI, 2024. Median home sale prices have increased steadily in Medford, Ashland, Jackson County and Oregon since 2012. Ashland’s market, however, shows pronounced seasonal variation, with recurring peaks and troughs throughout the years. As of September 2024, Ashland reaches the highest median home sale price at approximately $690,000. Outside of some low troughs occasionally appearing after 2022, Ashland's home prices have consistently exceeded the averages for Medford as well as regional and state averages. As of March 2025 (the most recent data collected), Ashland’s median home price was $470,000, compared to $510,000 in Oregon, $445,000 in Jackson County, and $435,000 in Medford. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 13 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 95 Exhibit 13. Median Home Sale Price, Ashland, Medford, Jackson County and Oregon, Jan 2012 – March 2025 Sources: Redfin, 2025; CAI, 2025. The share of homes sold within two weeks of listing remained relatively low and stable across all areas from 2012 to 2020, when this indicator spiked sharply in all geographies, such that in Medford 74% of listings were removed within two weeks (). Ashland’s peak was 68%, recorded Exhibit 14 in May of 2022. Since then, the rate of two-week sales has declined somewhat but remains elevated compared to pre-2020 levels. As of May 2024, this value was 18%. Most recent data (March of 2025), shows that 47% of all of Medford’s new listings and 43% of all of Ashland’s new listings were sold within two weeks. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 14 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 96 Exhibit 14. Housing Units off the Market within Two Weeks of Listing, Ashland, Medford, Jackson County and Oregon, Jan 2012 – March 2025 Sources: Redfin, 2025; CAI, 2025. As of 2023, median housing costs per rental unit, including rent, utilities, or other costs, was $1,367 per month, which is slightly lower than that of the state ($1,450) (). Housing costs for owner-occupied units however, Exhibit 15 were a median of $2,398 monthly including mortgage, taxes, utilities, insurance, and HOA fees as applicable. This is over $1,000 higher than the rental units and is slightly higher than the median monthly home cost for homeowners at the state level ($2,080). The majority of rental units in Ashland, at about 81%, cost more than $1,000 a month (). The largest grouping of rental units in Ashland Exhibit 16 (1,891) fall within the $1,000 - $1,500 rental range. Of these, most (62%) are large units with 2 or more bedrooms. The second largest range is housing units for $1,500 or more in rent, with 1,746 units. 88% of these units have 2 or more bedrooms. A greater proportion of lower-cost rental units are also smaller in size. Among units with rents between $300 and $499, 65% are studios, or no bedroom units. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 15 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 97 Exhibit 15. Monthly Housing Costs by Tenure, Ashland, 2023 Source: ACS 5-year Estimates, 2023; CAI, 2025. Exhibit 16. Housing Units by Rental Rate, Ashland Source: ACS 5-Year Estimates, 2023; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 16 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 98 According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s CHAS data, housing units are categorized by the maximum rent or home price affordable to households earning 30%, 50%, and 80% of area median income (AMI). For HUD CHAS data, "affordable housing" means that a 4 household spends no more than 30% of its gross income on housing costs. shows the total number of housing units available at different Exhibit 17 income levels in Ashland. While 26% of Ashland’s households earn less than 50% AMI (), only 12% of Ashland’s housing stock is affordable at Exhibit 7 that income level. Ashland has more housing units affordable at 50% - 80% AMI and 80% AMI and more than there are households that earn incomes at those levels. Exhibit 17. Household Earnings Compared to Housing Affordability Levels, Ashland, 2021 Source(s): CHAS 2017-2021; CAI 2025. shows the availability of Ashland’s housing stock at various Exhibit 18 levels of affordability. 95% of owner-occupied housing in Ashland is only HUD CHAS data dictionary is available online for viewing at: 4 https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.huduser.go v%2Fportal%2Fdatasets%2Fcp%2FCHAS%2F2007Data%2FDimensions.doc&wdOrig in=BROWSELINK CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 17 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 99 available for households making 80% AMI or higher. Renter-occupied units, however, show some (13%) housing options affordable for households making less than 30% AMI, another 9% of units available at the 30%-50% AMI range, and 41% of units available at 50% - 80% AMI. Exhibit 18. Housing Units by Tenure and Affordability Level, Ashland, 2021 Source(s): CHAS 2017-2021; CAI 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 18 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 100 Local Land Use Setting Ashland’s total land area is 4,256 acres (gross land area, including all rights- of-way) (). Ashland’s land area net of rights-of-way is estimated to Exhibit 19 be 3,553 acres, of which 46% are zoned for single-family residential uses. Exhibit 19. Ashland Zoning Map Sources: Ashland Open Data Portal, 2024. Commercial-zoned land represents about 4% of Ashland’s land area (net rights-of-way), while industrial land represents 1% (). Ashland’s Exhibit 20 Employment district makes up 8%, or 285 acres. Some of the land zoned for commercial, industrial, or employment uses are subject to overlays which may limit the uses or development potential on these parcels. The Croman Mill District (68 acres) and North Mountain Neighborhood District (53 acres) each offer mixed uses, which includes employment potential, but are subject to development regulations. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 19 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 101 Exhibit 20. Ashland Land by Zoning Designation, 2024 Source: Ashland Open Data Portal, 2024; CAI, 2025. Climate Ashland has a mild climate with four distinct seasons, influenced by its location on the West Coast and within the surrounding mountains. Situated at approximately 2,000 feet above sea level, the city is framed by Mt. Ashland to the south, rising to 7,500 feet, and the Cascade Range to the north and east. Ashland receives an average of 19.5 inches of rainfall annually, and less than 0.5 inches per year. The City of Ashland completed and Addendum to Jackson County’s Multi- Jurisdictional Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan in 2024. It describes Ashland’s climate and describes hazard probability and vulnerability within the City. Climate related risks which have been rated as both high probability and high vulnerability for Ashland are Wildfire, Severe Weather (such as Extreme Heat, Windstorm, Winter Storm), Earthquake hazard, Drought hazard, and Air Quality (). Air quality issues are linked Exhibit 21 to increased frequency and severity of wildfire smoke and climate change impacts, including higher ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter. These climate risks have impacts on public health and safety as well as impacts on economic activities and growth. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 20 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 102 Exhibit 21. Climate Hazards Analysis, Ashland, 2024-2029 HazardHistoryVulnerabilityMaximum ThreatProbabilityTotal Threat ScoreHazard RankHazard Tiers Wildfire184510070233#1 Extreme Heat Event18408070208#2 Top Tier Emerging Infectious Dise164010049205#3 Earthquake - Cascadia25010049201#4 Winter Storm20506070200#5 Drought20506063193#6 Windstorm20505070190#7 Middle Tier Air Quality18406063181#8 Landslide10358056181#9 Flood20306070180#10 Earthquake - Crustal2257021118#11 Bottom Tier Volcanic Event2550764#12 Sources: City of Ashland Addendum to the Jackson County Multi-Jurisdictional Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2024. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 21 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 103 N,S,RET ATIONAL TATE AND EGIONAL CONOMIC RENDS This section summarizes economic trends at the national, state and regional levels that influence local economic conditions in Ashland. Macroeconomic Indicators Nationally, the unemployment rate in 2024 matches pre-pandemic level lows. The national estimate for labor force participation rate has steadily declined since 2000, falling from 67.3% and reaching a low of 60.1% in early 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic (). The unemployment rate Exhibit 22 increased during two recent economic downturns, rising to 9.9% after the 2008 financial crisis and to 14.8% in April 2020 due partially to pandemic- related job losses. Since then, the unemployment rate has fallen lower than pre-pandemic levels, reaching 4.1% in 2024. As of October of 2024, labor force participation in the U.S. increased to 62.6%, though this remains lower than early 2000s levels. Exhibit 22. U.S. Unemployment Rate and Labor Force Participation Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2024; CAI, 2024. Meanwhile, the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) has consistently climbed upward since 2018, reaching a local high at the end of 2024. In 2020, amid the pandemic, SOFR dropped to near-zero levels (0.1%) while the CPI began to increase (. SOFR remained low until mid-2022, Exhibit 23) CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 22 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 104 when it increased to a peak of 5.31% in 2023 as the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy. Concurrently, the CPI increased from 144% in the beginning of 2020 up to 166% by the end of 2022. This reflects an 15% average annual growth rate 2020-2022, signifying increased inflation. Following 2022, CPI continued to climb, though at a lower average annual rate of 5% from the end of 2022 to 2024. As of late 2024, CPI remains high compared to pre-pandemic levels, at 175%, while SOFR decreased to 4.8%. Exhibit 23. Monthly Average Secured Overnight Financing Rate(SOFR)and Consumer Price Index(CPI), United States, (2018-2024) Sources: U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, 2024; U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2024; CAI, 2024. Note: CPI Base Period: December 1999 = 100 Southern Oregon and the Rogue River Valley Population Overall, Oregon has experienced steady population growth, with Jackson and Josephine Counties ranking near the middle in terms of population growth compared to other counties in the state. Since 2020, the populations of both Medford and Ashland have grown more quickly than the state. Medford’s growth rate was the highest of these geographies (). Exhibit 24 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 23 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 105 Exhibit 24. Historic Population Growth Estimates, Jackson County, Josephine County, Medford and Ashland, 1980-2023 CAGR Geography1980200020202023 (2020-2023) Oregon State2,633,1563,421,3994,268,0554,296,6260.2% Jackson County132,456181,269223,240222,762-0.1% City of Medford83,11590,8873.0% City of Ashland21,10521,4570.6% Josephine County58,85575,72686,56088,8140.9% Sources: University of Portland Population Research Center, 2023; CAI, 2024. Industry and Employment Both Oregon and Jackson County economies are heavily reliant on the Services sector, making up nearly half of all jobs. Jackson County also shows an emphasis on Retail Trade, underscoring the presence of regional commercial hubs within the county. For the Jackson and Josephine 2-County region, the major industry sectors which account for the most private jobs in 2021 are Services (with 24% of all jobs within the two counties) and Trade, Transportation, & Utilities (21%) and Education and Health (21%) (). A full list of which 2-digit Exhibit 25 NAICS code industries are included in each major industry sector is described in . Exhibit 26 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 24 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 106 Exhibit 25. Covered(Private)Employment by Major Industry Sector, Jackson and Josephine 2-County Region, 2001, 2010, & 2022 Sources:Oregon Employment Department, 2001, 2010 & 2022; CAI 2024. Note: The years and the major industry sectors categories utilized in this data set are different than those utilized in Exhibit 13, which may result in discrepancies between estimates across exhibits. Note 2: FIRE industry group includes Finance, Insurance and Real Estate. Exhibit 26. Major Industry Sectors by Corresponding NAICS Codes, 2022 Source: CAI, 2025. Workforce and Wages Jackson County’s private employment has grown steadily since 2010, adding 14,350 jobs at a CAGR of 1.5% to reach approximately 89,800 total jobs in 2022 (). The fastest growing 2-digit NAICS code industry sectors Exhibit 27 from 2010 to 2022 were Construction (adding 2,439 jobs with a CAGR of CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 25 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 107 5.4%), Education (+379, CAGR of 4.1%) and Resources (+1,343, CAGR of 4.0%) industries. This measure of private employment includes both part- time and full-time workers covered by unemployment insurance. It excludes self-employed individuals, independent contractors, military personnel, certain farmworkers, employees of religious organizations, and most government workers, including those in public education. Exhibit 27. Employment Change Over Time by Industry, Jackson County, 2010 & 2022 Sources:Oregon Employment Department, 2001, 2010 & 2022; CAI 2024. The proportion of working residents (16 and older) who report working from home has increased significantly across Oregon and Jackson County since 2010 (). In 2010, 6.1% of Oregon’s working residents reported Exhibit 28 working from home; by 2023, that figure had risen to 17.0%, representing a compound annual growth rate of 8.2%. Ashland had the highest share of at- home workers in 2010 at 13.3%, and experienced a similar growth trajectory, with a CAGR of 7.8% over the same period. By 2023, 21.1% of Ashland’s residents who work reported working from home. While the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey does not differentiate between remote workers, CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 26 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 108 home occupations or other work-from-home arrangements, the elevated proportion of workers reporting at-home work aligns with larger trends towards remote work following the pandemic. In Ashland, the higher share of working residents working from home may reflect both the local shift toward remote jobs and the city’s appeal to remote workers relocating from elsewhere in response to broader remote work trends. Exhibit 28. Proportion of Workers 16+ Who Work from Home, Oregon, Jackson County, Ashland & Medford, 2010 & 2023 Source: ACS 5-year Estimates, 2023; CAI, 2025. Jackson County’s top earning industries include Management (making an average annual wage of $109,600), Finance and Insurance ($82,700), and Information ($80,200) (). Average annual wages in Jackson Exhibit 29 County are generally lower than wages at the State level. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 27 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 109 Exhibit 29. Average Annual Wages by Occupation, Oregon & Jackson County, 2022 Sources:Oregon Employment Department, 2022; CAI 2024. Jackson County has a fairly specialized workforce, with 3-digit NAICS industries such as Sporting Goods, Healthcare Services, and Food and Beverage Locations growing and providing jobs. The Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores industry, or NAICS Code 451, not only has seen significant growth since 2010 (with a CAGR greater than 10.0%), but it also has a high concentration of employment in Jackson County compared to the nation, with an LQ above 10.0 (). Jackson Exhibit 30 County’s other fastest growing industries from 2010-2022 are Social Assistance (NAICS Code 624) with a CAGR of 6.6%, and Specialty Trade Contractors (NAICS Code 238) with a CAGR of 5.3%. Jackson County also specializes in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities (NAICS Code 623), which shows an LQ value of 7.24, and Ambulatory Health Care Services (NAICS Code 621), which has an LQ value of 6.66. This CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 28 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 110 industry also has high employment, at around 6,900 workers. The Food Services and Drinking Places industry (NAICS Code 722) is significant in Jackson County as well, demonstrating a high LQ (5.23) along with the highest employment in the County with around 7,700 workers in 2022. Exhibit 30. Top 10 Industries (at 3-digit NAICS) by Employment, Location Quotient, and Growth, Jackson County Sources: Oregon Employment Department 2010 & 2022; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2022; CAI 2024. Commercial Real Estate Retail consistently leads in real estate inventory in Jackson County, showing steady growth over time. Meanwhile, Office and Industrial inventories generally maintained moderate levels with slight upward trends. shows Jackson County’s retail inventory increasing from 10 Exhibit 31 million square feet in 2007 to 11.2 million square feet in 2023. Office inventory also grew steadily over the same time period, rising from 8.7 million square feet to 9.7 million square feet. Industrial inventory in Jackson County grew by about 1 million square feet from 2007 to 2023, reaching 4 million square. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 29 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 111 Exhibit 31. Commercial Real Estate Inventory, Jackson County, 2007-2023 Sources: Costar, 2007-2023; CAI 2024. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 30 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 112 LECT OCAL CONOMIC HARACTERISTICS AND RENDS This section analyzes data on Ashland’s local economy—including industry composition, employment, workforce and commuting patterns, market conditions, and other key metrics—to describe local economic characteristics and trends. Industry and Workforce Ashland’s Labor- and Commute- Sheds Ashland’s residents are highly educated, contributing to a well-qualified labor pool. As of 2023, 62% of the population holds a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared to 28% in Medford (). Exhibit 32 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 31 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 113 Exhibit 32. Educational Attainment by Block Group, Jackson County, 2022 Sources: Jackson County Open Data Portal, 2024; U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year 2018-2022 Estimates; CAI, 2024. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 32 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 114 However, the Rogue Valley’s labor and commute sheds are very intertwined. Ashland’s residents travel all over the valley to work, including to Medford, which serves as a primary employment hub in the Rogue Valley. According to the Census Bureau’s 2022 commute data, Ashland had 5,783 employed residents in 2022 (). Just 37% worked within the city, Exhibit 33 while 63% commuted to jobs outside of Ashland. Ashland’s workforce, however, included 6,910 people. Of these, only 31% (2,158 individuals) both lived and worked in Ashland, while the remaining 69% commuted in from other communities. Exhibit 33. Commuting Patterns of Ashland’s Workforce and Residents, Ashland, 2022 Share of Share of MetricCountAshland Ashland ResidentsWorkers Total Employed in Ashland6,910 Total Living in Ashland5,783 Net Inflow of Workers1,127 Both Live and Work in Ashland2,15837%31% Work in Ashland, Live Outside4,75269% Live in Ashland, Work Outside3,62563% Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD), 2021; CAI, 2024. Considering that many of Ashland’s working residents commute elsewhere for employment, while a significant share of local jobs are filled by workers commuting into the city. This dynamic suggests a mismatch between the types of jobs available in Ashland and the skills or preferences of its resident workforce. Ashland’s jobs-to-housing unit ratio is 0.74 in 2023, down slightly from 0.78 in 2013 (). This modest decline points to a growing imbalance Exhibit 34 between local employment opportunities and housing availability. A ratio below 1.0 indicates there are fewer jobs than housing units, which may reflect demographic factors—such as a higher share of retirees—and regional commuting patterns. Compared to the Rogue Valley (0.85) and Medford (1.35), Ashland’s lower ratio is likely impacted by both a reduced labor force participation due to a high proportion of seniors () and the outflow Exhibit 2 of residents commuting elsewhere for work (as described in Exhibit 33 above). CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 33 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 115 Exhibit 34. Job to Housing Unit Ratio, Ashland, 2013 and 2023 Source: American Community Survey, 2013, 2023; State of Oregon Employment Department, 2013, 2023; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2013, 2023; CAI, 2025. In 2022, these dynamics come together to result in a net inflow of 1,685 workers into Ashland (). It's important to note that inflow/outflow Exhibit 35 values do not reflect the actual number of commuters; rather, they represent the net difference between the total number of jobs located in Ashland and the total number of Ashland residents working in each industry. As such, they do not account for residents who may commute elsewhere for similar jobs, and should be interpreted as a rough indicator of industry-level labor exchange. In Ashland, industries with the highest net inflow include Accommodation and Food Services (+638), Educational Services (+596), and Retail Trade (+354). These patterns suggest relatively higher demand for labor in these sectors compared to the local workforce available to fill them. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 34 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 116 Exhibit 35. Total Employment Labor Inflow & Outflow by Industry, Ashland, 2022 Jobs of Share of Share of Ashland's Jobs in Inflow / Jobs in AshlandAshland Ashland's Jobs Residents by Ashland(Outflow) Residentsby IndustryIndustry Accommodation and Food Services 1,620 982 638 39% Educational Services 1,362 766 596 44% Retail Trade 1,379 1,025 354 26% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 674 334 340 50% Manufacturing 589 423 166 28% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 480 349 131 27% Information 244 159 85 35% Other Services (excluding Public Administration) 377 293 84 22% Administration & Support, Waste Management a 320 315 5 2% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 7 4 3 43% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 118 120 (2)-2% Utilities - 11 (11)-100% Wholesale Trade 143 163 (20)-12% Finance and Insurance 140 168 (28)-17% Management of Companies and Enterprises 51 96 (45)-47% Public Administration 188 271 (83)-31% Transportation and Warehousing 64 155 (91)-59% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 40 172 (132)-77% Construction 179 322 (143)-44% Health Care and Social Assistance 1,129 1,291 (162)-13% 9,1047,4191,68519%23% Sources: U.S. Census Bureau Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD), 2021; CAI, 2024. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 35 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 117 Ashland’s Industries and Employment Total (private and public) employment in Ashland has experienced both growth and decline since 2002, ending with a total of 9,104 jobs in 2022 (). Exhibit 36 Of this total employment, Ashland’s top industries in 2022 by employment were Accommodation and Food Services (with 1,620 jobs), Retail Trade (1,379 jobs), Educational Services (1,362 jobs), and Health Care (1,129 jobs) (). Exhibit 35 Exhibit 36. Total Job Growth, Ashland, 2001 to 2022 9,792 9,750 9,678 10,000 9,445 9,355 9,123 9,104 8,835 8,592 8,526 8,312 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - Sources: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) On the Map, 2002-2022; CAI 2025 According to non-confidential estimates from Oregon’s Office of Economic Development (OED), Ashland had 8,470 private jobs in 2023, up from 7,954 in 2013, reflecting a 0.6% CAGR over the decade (). Exhibit 37 Top growing private industry sectors from 2013 – 2023 were Resources, Infrastructure and Enterprises, which expanded at a CAGR of 9.9% (+ 516 jobs), the Information sector, which grew at 1.8% CAGR (+31 jobs), and Real Estate, which also expanded by 1.8% CAGR (+20 jobs). Private sector industries with declining employment included Wholesale Trade (-3.7% CAGR, -50 jobs), Education (-1.6% CAGR, -19 jobs), and Accommodation and Food Services (-1.1% CAGR, -72 jobs). CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 36 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 118 Exhibit 37. Private, Non-confidential Employment by 2-Digit NAICSIndustry Sector, Ashland, 2013 & 2023 Industry 2-Digit NAICS20132023CAGRChange 11, 21, 22, 23, Construction, Resources & Enterprise*48 & 49, 55 3298459.9%516 Manufacturing (31-33)31-33 5115460.7%35 Wholesale Trade42 161111-3.7%-50 Retail Trade (44 & 45)44-45 1,4041,4710.5%67 Information51 1581891.8%31 Finance and Insurance52 178170-0.5%-8 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing53 1091301.8%21 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services54 3393981.6%59 Administrative and Support and Waste Management a56 275245-1.1%-30 Educational Services61 124105-1.6%-19 Health Care and Social Assistance62 1,3591,3540.0%-5 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation71 677605-1.1%-72 Accommodation and Food Services72 1,9121,860-0.3%-52 Other Services (except Public Administration)81 4184300.3%12 Unclassified99 01111 Total 7,9548,4700.6%516 Sources: State of Oregon Employment Department, 2013 & 2023; CAI 2025. Note: Private employment does not include public sector jobs including government or public education services, such as workers at Southern Oregon University. summarizes projected employment growth within Ashland’s Exhibit 38 Urban Growth Boundary (UGB) through the year 2045. These employment forecasts inform the section of the Employment Lands Sufficiency Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA). Forecast employment in Ashland is based on estimates of covered employment from 2013-2023 provided by the State of Oregon Employment Department (OED) (as shown above), as well as Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Quarterly Census of Employment and Workers (QCEW) covered employment estimates for Jackson and Josephine Counties.These were utilized to apportion the OED published Rogue Valley Forecast for the period 2023-2033. The resulting Ashland forecast adapts Jackson County's portion of projected regional growth to the city based on the trajectory of sectoral shares of countywide employment projected into the future. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) represents resulting year over year growth for the twenty-year period 2025-2045. Total private employment is projected to increase from 8,644 in 2025 to 10,045 by 2045, a total increase of 1,401 jobs. The Leisure and Hospitality sector is projected to add the most jobs (an estimated 654) over this time frame, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.8%. Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (FIRE) is projected to grow the fastest from 2025-2045, with a CAGR of 2.2% and Health Care is the second fastest CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 37 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 119 growing, with a CAGR of 1.4%. Information is projected to decrease the most over the period, with a projected loss of 53 jobs. The Leisure and Hospitality sector is expected to see the largest absolute growth, adding approximately 654 jobs, with a CAGR of 0.8%. Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (FIRE) is projected to grow the fastest, with a CAGR of 2.2%, followed by Health Care, at 1.4%. In contrast, the Information sector is expected to decline by 53 jobs over the same period. These estimates reflect only private, non-confidential employment—defined as jobs in privately owned businesses and institutions. Public sector employment, including positions at public universities and government agencies, is not included. As such, the employment forecast is specifically intended to support land use planning and may not capture the full range of community economic priorities. Industry categories used in the forecast correspond to 2-digit NAICS codes, as detailed in . Exhibit 39 Exhibit 38. Covered Employment Forecast Total and by Sector, Ashland UGB, 2025 – 2045 20 Year Industry2013202520352045CAGR Growth Leisure & Hospitality2,5892,4412,7913,0956541.2% Retail1,4041,4851,4561,443(42)-0.1% Health Care1,3591,3531,5691,7754221.4% Const, Resources & TWU307952887979270.1% Professsional & Business Services6367147668261120.7% Manufacturing511553556565120.1% Other Services418432467500670.7% FIRE2873033824671652.2% Information158196162143(53)-1.6% Wholesale161103117123190.9% Education124102111116150.7% Unclassified0111214 31.2% Total7,9548,6449,27610,0451,4010.8% Sources: BLS, 2024; Oregon Employment Department, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 38 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 120 Exhibit 39. Industry Groupings by 2-Digit NAICS, Ashland Employment Forecasts, 2025 Industry AggregatesCovered NAICSIndustry Descriptions 11Natural resources and mining 21Mining and logging Construction, Resources & TWU22Utilities 23Construction 48-49Transportation & warehousing 31-33Manufacturing Manufacturing 42Wholesale trade Wholesale 44-45Retail trade Retail 51Information Information 52Finance and Insurance FIRE 53Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 54Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 55Management of Companies and Enterprises Professional & Business Services Administrative and Support and Waste 56 Management and Remediation Services 611Private educational services Education 62Health care and social assistance Health Care 71Leisure and hospitality Leisure & Hospitality 72Accommodation and food services 81Other services Other Services Sources: CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 39 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 121 Ashland’s Market Conditions Commercial Real Estate Inventory Ashland’s retail inventory increased from 702,000 square feet in 2007 to 788,000 square feet in 2024, maintaining the largest share of commercial real estate inventory in the city (). Office space grew from 350,000 Exhibit 40 square feet in 2007 to 500,000 square feet in 2024. Industrial inventory increased gradually, starting at 269,000 square feet in 2007 and reaching 302,000 square feet in 2024. Exhibit 40. Square Footage of Inventory by Typology, Ashland, 2007-2024 Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 40 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 122 Hospitality Hospitality real estate inventory in Ashland, measured by the number of rooms, decreased from 947 rooms in 2007 to 770 rooms in 2024 (). Exhibit 41 After an initial decline in inventory in 2008, the number of rooms grew modestly, peaking at 892 rooms in 2020 before declining again. Occupancy rates began at 59.3% in 2007, peaked at 71.1% in 2019, and declined to 62.0% in 2024, with a significant dip to 54.3% in 2020. Despite some recovery in occupancy rates post-2020, both inventory and occupancy remain below their earlier peaks. Exhibit 41. Hospitality Real Estate Inventory (by Rooms) and Occupancy (Annually-Smoothed), Ashland, 2007-2024 Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. Retail explores retail lease rates and vacancy trends in Ashland from Exhibit 42 2007 to 2024. Retail lease rates started at $12.00 per square foot in 2007, reached a peak of $29.73 per square foot in 2018, and declined to $20.99 per square foot as of 2024. Retail vacancy rates fluctuated, beginning at 5.4% in 2007, reaching a low of 1.1% in 2020, and ending at 2.0% in 2024, with a temporary increase to 4.0% in 2023. This reflects a different trend to that seen in the Rogue Valley region. Annual average vacancy rates for retail in the Rogue Valley fluctuated from 2.4%-3.9% from 2009-2024, landing at 3.05% in 2024. Lease rates peaked in CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 41 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 123 the Rogue Valley in 2022, with $17.06 per square foot, before dropping slightly to $16.55 in 2024. Exhibit 42. Retail Lease and Vacancy Rate, Ashland, 2007-2024 LeaseRate ($/Sqft)Vacancy (%) $35.006.0% 5.4% $29.73 $30.00 5.0% $25.00 4.0% 4.0% $20.99 $20.64 $20.00 3.0% $15.00 2.0% $12.00 $14.94 2.0% $10.00 1.0% $5.00 1.1% $0.000.0% Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. Retail lease and vacancy trends in Downtown Ashland have diverged from the citywide market somewhat (). Downtown lease rates, like Exhibit 43 lease rates city-wide, peaked in 2019. However, its lease rates were more volatile than at the city level, with the peak very briefly reaching $36.81. Downtown lease rates have decreased since, reaching $17.00 in 2024. Similarly, downtown vacancy rates spiked sharply to 11.3% in 2021 before declining to 1.6% in 2024, whereas citywide vacancy has remained more stable. These patterns suggest that downtown Ashland experienced a more intense cycle of disruption and recovery, possibly reflecting its concentration of tourism-facing retail or greater exposure to pandemic-related impacts. Despite this, current downtown vacancy is low, signaling potential for a rebound in tenant demand. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 42 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 124 Exhibit 43. Downtown Retail Lease and Vacancy Rate, Ashland, 2012-2024 Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 43 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 125 Office Office lease rates peaked at $22.68 per square foot in 2021 but declined to $18.96 by 2023 (). Vacancy rates fluctuated but remained low, Exhibit 44 ending at 2.5% in 2024. This is lower than the 2024 average vacancy rate for office space in the Rogue Valley region of 4.73%. Exhibit 44. Office Lease and Vacancy Rate, Ashland, 2007-2024 LeaseRate ($/Sqft)Vacancy (%) $25.006.0% $22.68 5.5% $19.74 5.0% $20.00 $18.96 4.1% 4.0% $15.00 3.0% 2.5% $10.00 2.0% $5.00 1.0% 0.5% $0.000.0% Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 44 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 126 Industrial Industrial lease rates in Ashland peaked at $13.59 per square foot in 2023 before declining to $10.47 in 2024 (). Industrial vacancy rates Exhibit 45 increased from near 0% in 2019 to 26.7% in 2024. The sharp rise in Ashland’s industrial vacancy rate since 2019 may be attributed to a combination of new space deliveries outpacing tenant demand, pandemic-related business disruptions, and increased competition from nearby markets such as Rogue Valley, where vacancy rates remain comparatively low (). Exhibit 46 Exhibit 45. Industrial Lease and Vacancy, Ashland, 2007-2024 LeaseRate ($/Sqft)Vacancy (%) $16.0035.0% 31.3% $13.59 $14.00 30.0% 26.7% $12.00 25.0% $9.74 $10.00 $10.47 20.0% $8.00 $6.72 15.0% $6.00 10.0% $4.00 5.0% $2.00 1.6% 3.0% $0.000.0% Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 45 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 127 Exhibit 46. Industrial Absorption and Deliveries, Ashland, 2010-2023 Deliveries Absorption (Sqft) 50,000 43,000 40,000 27,777 30,000 20,000 9,730 10,000 5,850 0 (10,000) (5,600) (20,000) (30,000) (33,950) (40,000) Source(s): Costar, 2024; CAI, 2025. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 20, 2025 PAGE 46 DRAFT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ANALYSIS Total Page Number: 128 ELSA MPLOYMENT ANDS UFFICIENCY SSESSMENT Background requires that cities maintain a buildable lands inventory OAR 660-038-0060 within the UGB sufficient to accommodate the residential, employment and other urban uses such as public facilities, streets, parks and open space needed for a 20-year planning period. Ashland’s Buildable Lands Inventory (BLI), adopted in 2024, mapped net developable land supply by Comprehensive Plan and Zoning categories for the City and Urban Growth Boundary (UGB). Along with the 2021 Housing Capacity Analysis, the BLI largely focused on residential land capacity and determined that sufficient supply exists to satisfy residential growth needs for housing units for the 20-year planning horizon. This 2024-2025 Economic Opportunity Analysis update forecasts the demand for employment on commercial and industrial lands and utilizes the BLI to assess whether an adequate supply of land zoned for employment uses is available to meet this forecasted demand. Methodology Step 1. Supply Isolate, extract, and further analyze the supply of buildable employment (commercial and industrial) land from the 2024 BLI. Step 2. Demand Using a detailed, customized employment data based on published sources including the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Oregon Employment Department, forecast employment in aggregate and by industry / land use is modeled and utilized to estimate land demand by category. Step 3. Reconcile Supply with Demand Supply of employment land is reconciled with demand in aggregate and by category. Step 4. Site Types A range of site types required to meet Ashland’s forecast demand for employment land are explored and characterized. Buildable Land Segments Oregon statutes define Buildable Lands as “Residentially and commercially designated , and, at the option of the local vacant, partially vacant jurisdiction, land within the urban growth boundary that is redevelopable CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 47 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 129 not severely constrained by natural hazards, (Statewide Planning Goal 7) or subject to natural resource protection measures (Statewide Planning Goals 5 and 15).” For the BLI analysis conducted for this EOA, the following categories were defined and used; Vacant lots were those parcels that were free of improvements Vacant: (structures) and were available for future residential or commercial development. 5 In Commercially zoned lands, those parcels with Partially Vacant: additional undeveloped land area yet containing a building on a portion of the property were considered partially vacant. 6 Ashland Employment Comp Plan / Zoning Categories This analysis extracts and examines net buildable acreage (vacant and partially developed) for these five Comprehensive Plan “employment land” land use categories: (C-1) This district is designed to stabilize, improve and Commercial protect the characteristics of those areas providing commercial commodities and services. (C-1-D) This district is an employment zone Commercial-Downtown that allows retail, office, and other uses. The district is designed to provide for a variety of Employment (E-1) uses such as office, retail, or manufacturing in an aesthetic environment and having a minimal impact on surrounding uses. ) This district is designed to encourage Industrial District (M-1 sound industrial development in the City by providing a protective environment exclusively for such development. The is a group of large parcels of land in Croman Mill zone (CM-X) south Ashland that have their own set of design elements and permitted, special permitted, and conditional uses. The redevelopment plan for this site was passed by the Ashland City Council in August 2010 and includes a Croman Mill site specific land use code. Other categories of vacant land were identified but excluded from net buildable 5 supply, including vacant-unbuildable (due to physical constraints like floodplains and steep slopes); vacant - open space; vacant – parking; and vacant – parks. Vacant – airport may be discussed later. Publicly owned land and sites with slopes greater than 35% were not considered 6 buildable. Commercial properties deemed “redevelopable” were included in “partially vacant” category. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 48 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 130 Supply of Employment Land Summary of Buildable Lands Inventory The 2024 BLI found a combined total area within Ashland’s political boundaries (City + UGB) of . Of this, there was a total of 4,958 acres542 (including Industrial, Commercial, acres of “employment land” Employment, Downtown Commercial, and Croman Mill Employment, Ind. & Mixed Use) found within the City and UGB. A total of of land were found within the City and 630 net buildable acres UGB that are developable across all Comprehensive Plan designations, out of a . gross buildable area of 985 acres Exhibit 47. Total Net Buildable Acreage, Ashlandand Urban Growth Boundary, 2024 Source: Excerpted from Ashland Buildable Lands Inventory, 2024. Public rights-of-way, parks/open space and civic uses accounted for 27.8% of the City’s total gross acreage. The remaining land is classified as Residential (60.1%), Commercial (11.4%), and Industrial (0.4%). Total Supply Total for all categories was net buildable supply “employment land” 181 per the 2024 BLI analyzed for this work. Net buildable supply is acres exclusive of constrained areas, such as steep slopes, wetlands, and special flood hazard areas. Gross buildable supply, including constrained areas, totaled 267 acres across 140 parcels. The 2024 BLI found that most land supply was in the Employment land use category, comprising around 50% of the total buildable acreage, and Croman Mill, comprising another 33%. The least constrained parcels were in the CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 49 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 131 Industrial and Croman Mill designations. Industrial and Employment sites had the lowest built FARs generally. Downtown Commercial parcels represented a small fraction of supply, were heavily constrained, and had much higher FARs. Exhibit 48. Developable and Redevelopable Employment Lands by Category, Ashland, 2024 Net Number Gross Buildable Percent Comp Plan Categoryof ParcelsAcreageAcreageConstrained Croman Mill (Employment, Ind. & MU)1385.761.1 29% Downtown (Commercial)82.90.44 85% Employment89136.79034% Commercial 2425.315.240% Industrial616.314.610% Total140.0266.9181.332% Sources: Ashland Zoning Map, 2024; Ashland Future Land Use Map, 2024; CAI, 2024. Supply Location The 2024 BLI found that Ashland’s current buildable employment land supply was located mainly in the City limits (69%, by net buildable acreage). Most was located in southeast Ashland, and/or adjacent to the Central Oregon & Pacific railroad right of way. Major nodes were located: South of the airport on Main St.; Along I-5 and the railroad line from Croman Mill down to Crowson; North of the Railroad District in central Ashland, and; Around Jackson Rd. and Hwy 99 CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 50 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 132 Exhibit 49. Buildable Commercial and Industrial Lands Map, Ashland, 2024 Sources: Ashland Zoning Map, 2024; Ashland Future Land Use Map; CAI, 2025. Short Term Supply The Goal 9 Administrative Rule (OAR 660-009) includes provisions that require that cities within a Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) account for and ensure an adequate short-term supply of industrial and other employment lands for near term growth needs. As Ashland is within the Rogue Valley MPO, it is subject to this requirement. Short term supply, per the administrative rules, refers to land that can be ready for construction in one year based on “engineering feasibility.” For this CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 51 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 133 assessment, CAI and the City of Ashland have interpreted this to include a subset of sites within the above described overall employment land supply that: Have road access, Have minimal contamination or environmental constraints (or are undergoing remediation currently), And are served with basic infrastructure (stubbed at property or adjacent) including power, water, and sanitary sewer. Per these criteria, the City of Ashland’s of employment short term supply land sites amounts to a total of comprising of land 21 parcels101.3 acres within the city and / or urban growth boundary. Key pieces of this short term supply include the Croman Mill employment sites, and the large Union Pacific E-1 site north of Downtown Ashland. In particular, the Croman Mill employment sites identified in this inventory may satisfy this requirement, as all necessary utilities—water, sewer, and electricity—can be extended with the installation of internal streets and supporting infrastructure. While the site contains contaminated soil and requires environmental remediation, a cleanup proposal is currently under review by the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ). In addition to Croman Mill, the large E-1 site between A Street and Hersey owned by Union Pacific also meets the serviceability standard. It has an approved DEQ remediation plan, with cleanup expected to begin in the fall. Once completed, the site will support employment uses and potentially urban residential development. Approximately three acres of the property will remain under a vegetative cap due to residual contamination, which may require additional remediation if more intensive development is pursued. All essential public facilities and services are available at the perimeter of both sites and can be extended through the properties as needed, which supports their classification as development-ready short term supply sites under Oregon’s Economic Opportunity Analysis (EOA) framework. For other industrial sites identified in the BLI south of the airport, no impediments were identified to the extension of infrastructure necessary to serve future development. Public facilities such as water, sewer, and transportation connections can be extended as needed in these locations to support employment uses. In addition to current supply, the Rule requires cities within an MPO to make a commitment to provide a competitive short-term supply of land and establishes a target of 25% of total UGB employment land supply. As total employment land supply in Ashland amounts to 542 acres, a target of 25% CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 52 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 134 would represent . A “competitive” short term supply refers to 136 acres having parcels in a range of sizes and designations to meet the needs of a variety of employers interested in locating or expanding in the city. Forecasted Employment Land Demand In this section, future commercial and industrial employment growth is modeled and converted into an approximation of land needed to accommodate this growth. Total and industry sector growth is represented by a twenty-year employment forecast for the Ashland UGB (2025-2045). This employment growth is then mapped to generalized land use typologies (commercial and industrial) corresponding to Ashland’s General Comprehensive Plan designations for employment land. Finally, demand for employment land is modeled based on local employment densities derived from existing land absorption patterns cross referenced with site-level employment data Forecasted Employment Growth Forecasted employment growth by industry, given in , is mapped Exhibit 38 to generalized land use types corresponding broadly to Ashland’s employment lands Comprehensive Plan designations (). By 2045, Ashland is Exhibit 50 forecasted to experience employment growth in the form of an estimated 1,343 jobs generally requiring commercial land and 59 jobs that generally require industrial land (). Mapped land use categories are broad Exhibit 51 and site sufficiency is examined with greater precision in the subsequent section. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 53 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 135 Exhibit 50. Mapping Employment Forecasts to Generalized Land Uses, Ashland, 2045 20 Year Generalized Industry GrowthLand Use Leisure & Hospitality654Commercial Retail(42)Commercial Health Care422Commercial Construction, Resources & WTU27Industrial Professsional & Business Services112Commercial Manufacturing12Industrial Other Services67Commercial FIRE165Commercial Information(53)Commercial Wholesale19Industrial Education15Commercial Unclassified3Commercial Total1,401 Sources: CAI, 2025. Exhibit 51. Forecasted Employment by Generalized Land Use Types, Ashland, 2025 & 2045 20252045Employment Generalized Land UseEmploymentEmploymentGrowth Commercial7,0368,3781,343 Industrial1,6081,66759 Total8,64410,0451,401 Sources: CAI, 2025. For absorption of vacant land, this analysis converts forecast growth by land use to land demand using locally-derived assumptions for employment . These density figures, in terms of ) densityEmployees Per Acre (EPA were calculated by dividing summed site-level employment data by total developed acres per category for Commercial, Commercial-Downtown, Employment, and Industrial sites. Though the small number of developed industrial sites (8) renders this data less reliable as a reference, other comparables from Medford and recent report commissioned on Croman Mill (by Jonson Economic), demonstrate consistent density findings. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 54 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 136 Exhibit 52. Employment Density Metrics by Land Use Category, Ashland, 2025 Total 2025 Site Developed 2025 Employment Comp Plan / Employment Site Acreage Employment Zoning Categories(Employees)(Ac)Density (EPA) Commercial (C-1)1,96310319.1 Commercial-Downtown (C-1-D)1,2011392.4 Employment (E-1)1,93211416.9 Croman Mill (NC, MU, OE, CI)153276.5 Industrial (M-1)1421310.9 Total5,39124522.0 Source: Jackson County Assessor, 2024; City of Ashland, 2025; ESRI Business Analyst, 2025; CAI, 2025. Note: 500 employees for the Oregon Shakespeare Festival, though technically based in Downtown Ashland, are in fact distributed and were removed from local employment totals. Note: For additional reference, a 2023 report by Johnson Economics estimated an average employment density of 18 employees per acre (EPA) for the Croman Mill site with its projected mix of retail, office, industrial, and residential. The nearby Jackson County city of Medford was found to have an existing industrial employment density of 9.3 EPA across a much larger sampling of sites. For , 20-year employment growth (2025-2045) by aggregate land demand generalized land use category (commercial and industrial) was converted using locally derived employment densities for generalized Commercial and Industrial use categories (). Total aggregate land demand based Exhibit 44 upon this method was(net of any additional required acreage for 76 acres ROWs, public facilities, etc.), including land and 70 acres of commercial5 land. acres of industrial Exhibit 53. Aggregate Land Demand Forecast, Ashland, 2045 Generalized 20 Year Employment Net Land Land UseGrowthDensity (EPA)Demand (Ac) Commercial1,34319.170 Industrial5910.95 Total1,401-76 Source: Jackson County Assessor, 2024; City of Ashland, 2025; ESRI Business Analyst, 2025; CAI, 2025. Employment Lands Sufficiency With a of “employment lands”, total net buildable supply of 181 acres and only projected for industrial and 76 aggregate acres of demand CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 55 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 137 commercial uses, Ashland has a likely within the surplus of over 100 acres City and UGB urbanized area. But does Ashland have the right kind of sites? The following section examines more closely and supply versus demand by category in Ashland based on existing and historic characterizes needed site types patterns of land absorption. Land Needed for Economic Growth models one potential distribution of land demand given existing Exhibit 54 shares of current employment by land use / zoning category as applied to employment growth for the 20-year planning period (forecast at 1,401 new jobs by 2045). Croman Mill is likely significantly underestimated given assumptions based on current employment as the site has largely not yet been redeveloped. Discounting Croman Mill, which is likely to see much greater future development, there could be a small deficit of commercial lands but surpluses of employment and industrial lands in Ashland currently. Since the E-1 category can accommodate many commercial uses, it is possible that the city of Ashland has sufficient supply to meet demand in all categories, possibly excepting Downtown Commercial. Exhibit 54. Estimated Demand for Employment Land by Land Use Type, Ashland, 2025-2045 SupplyDemand Net Current Share of 20-Estimated Buildable Employment Year Job Employment Demand Surplus Comp Plan CategoryAcres(% of Total)GrowthDensity (EPA)(Ac)(Deficit) Commercial 15.222.7%31819.116.7(1.5) Downtown (Commercial)0.4413.9%19592.42.1(1.7) Employment9022.4%31316.918.571.5 Croman Mill (Employment, Ind. & MU)61.11.8%2576.50.360.8 Industrial14.61.6%2310.92.112.5 Total181.362%87439.7141.6 Sources: Jackson County Assessor, 2024; City of Ashland, 2025; ESRI Business Analyst, 2025; CAI, 2025. Note: Current employment totals do not sum to 100% because 38% of Ashland employment occurs outside of these zones, mainly on residential lands. Land Sufficiency by Site Types summarizes the number of vacant sites by size that are available Exhibit 55 for new development on employment lands in Ashland in 2025. In total, there CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 56 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 138 are 140 sites available to support future land demand through 2045. The largest grouping of these are small sites of less than 0.5 acres (56). The next largest grouping are sites sized 1-5 acres. Few sites are larger than 5 acres (8) and even fewer are needed at the 20 acres or larger range (2). The largest proportion of sites is in the Employment land use category (89) with the next largest categories being commercial (24) and Croman Mill (13). These findings inform the following discussion of demand by category. Exhibit 55. Land Supplyby Site Size and Designation, Ashland, 2025 Number of Vacant Tax Lots Less than .5 to 1 More than Comp Plan Category.5 acac1-5 ac5-20 ac20 acTotal Commercial 13551024 Downtown (Commercial)5 30008 Employment37 13353189 Croman Mill (Employment, Ind. & MU)1 254113 Industrial0 06006 140 Total56235182 Source(s): City of Ashland, 2025; Jackson County Assessor, 2024; CAI, 2025. Commercial Zone Site Statistics Number of Developed Parcels: 178 Mean (Average) Parcel Size: 0.58 acres Median (Most Frequent) Parcel Size: 0.23 acres Ashland’s zoneallows for a range of retail, food & Retail Commercial (C-1) beverage, and service uses, while generally speaking, manufacturing and industrial uses are not permitted unless they are small and contiguous to retailing. Mini-storage is not permitted. Office is permitted in commercial, employment, and industrial zones. Three primary nodes of this zone encompass the area immediately surrounding Downtown Ashland, the highway commercial along Siskiyou / 99, and the larger format retail node around I-5 and Ashland / 66. Ashland’s Retail Commercial (C-1) zone currently has a median (most frequent) developed site size of 0.23 acres. If current patterns of land consumption persist, this category will require around 17 aggregate acres of land, distributed across a range of site sizes, but predominantly small (less than 0.5 acre) size sites, which constitute 54% of all currently buildable Commercial sites. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 57 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 139 Downtown Commercial Zone Site Statistics Number of Developed Parcels: 77 Mean (Average) Parcel Size: 0.16 acres Median (Most Frequent) Parcel Size: 0.12 acres Ashland’s zoneaims to create a vibrant, Downtown Commercial (C-1-D) pedestrian-friendly environment by permitting a mix of uses, including high- density housing, civic offices, and small-scale commercial, food and beverage, and retail businesses. It emphasizes mixed-use developments and encourages locally oriented professional and personal services. The zone is designed to foster a compact, transit-oriented area with public spaces, extensive landscaping, and shared parking. This zone is the location of many of Ashland’s Oregon Shakespeare Festival organizations (including the HQ of the festival itself) and supporting businesses and encompasses a compact zone in downtown Ashland. Ashland’s zonecurrently has a median Downtown Commercial (C-1-D) (most frequent) developed site size of 0.12 acres. If current patterns of land consumption generally continue, this category would required only around 2 more aggregate acres of land (given extremely small lot sizes and higher built FARs), distributed across a range of small site sizes, but predominantly less than 0.5 acre size sites, which constitute two-thirds of the eight currently buildable Downtown Commercial sites. Employment Zone Site Statistics Number of Developed Parcels: 214 Mean (Average) Parcel Size: 0.53 acres Median (Most Frequent) Parcel Size: 0.26 acres Ashland’s zoneis designated to allow for various types of Employment (E-1) businesses, including office, retail, and manufacturing, while aiming for a visually appealing and minimally disruptive environment. Large nodes of E-1 exist along the railroad right-of-way (ROW) north of downtown, and south of the airport. The as it allows many Employment category (E-1) is more inclusive commercial uses, in addition to office and some (lower impact) manufacturing and industrial uses. As such, the E-1 zone could feasibly absorb demand for both commercial and industrial land. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 58 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 140 In E-1, retail is limited to 20,000 square feet (sf) per lot. Mini-storage is conditionally permitted. Marijuana retailing is conditionally permitted and limited to C-1 or E-1. Auto service and gas stations are permitted with conditions in C-1 and E-1. Ashland’s zonecurrently has a median (most frequent) Employment (E-1) developed site size of 0.26 acres and an average size of 0.53 acres. If current patterns of land consumption continue, this category will demand around 19 aggregate acres of land, distributed across a range of site sizes, but predominantly small and small-mid-size sites, which constitute 42% and 15% of currently buildable Employment sites. Industrial Zone Site Statistics Number of Developed Parcels: 8 Mean (Average) Parcel Size: 1.6 acres Median (Most Frequent) Parcel Size: 1.6 acres Ashland has several industrial zoned areas and business parks designed to encourage business development. These areas offer a mix of infrastructure, zoning options, and potential for various industrial and commercial uses. Specifically, the Croman Mill Site, the Ashland Industrial Park, and IPCO Commercial Properties are key locations for industrial activity. The ) in Ashland allows for a range of general Industrial zone (M-1 manufacturing, distribution, office and industrial uses, well-buffered from residential uses. Mini-storage is a permitted use here. Retail is limited to serving workers in the zone but restaurants are permitted. Ashland’s zonecurrently has a median (most frequent) and Industrial (M-1) average developed site size of 1.6 acres. If current patterns of land consumption continue, this category will demand around 2 more aggregate acres of land, most likely in the mid-size (1-5 ac) range, which constitute 100% of the currently buildable Industrial sites. Summary of Findings This analysis finds that, with a total net buildable supply of 181 of “employment lands” and only acres 76 total acres of demand projected for industrial and commercial uses, Ashland has a likely within the City and UGB urbanized area. surplus of over 100 acres However, there may be a shortage of small, centrally located While overall supply is sufficient, further analysis commercial sites. suggests a relative lack of small Downtown Commercial and mid-sized commercial sites. Some of this demand could be absorbed by surplus CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 59 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 141 E-1 employment lands; however, businesses that depend on visibility and foot traffic—such as those tied to the Oregon Shakespeare Festival—will continue to prefer prominent downtown locations. Improving pedestrian connectivity, signage, and branding between downtown and the northern E-1 node may help support business attraction in those areas. Ownership dynamics limit redevelopment of key opportunity The Croman Mill and Railroad District properties represent the sites. city’s largest groupings of buildable land, but lack of proactive ownership and incentives to sell have historically stalled redevelopment efforts. There is capacity to accommodate stronger-than-forecasted If employment growth is greater than forecasts employment growth. indicate in coming years, there will likely be sufficient land in Ashland to accommodate it given the surplus employment land supply identified within the City / UGB. In particular, certain segments within industrial – such as outdoor recreation manufacturing or craft food and beverage – may be worth consideration for targeted economic development efforts by Ashland to synergize with its evolving economic base. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 60 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 142 CEDP OMMUNITY CONOMIC EVELOPMENT RIORITIES Public Engagement Following an inclusive engagement plan, reviewed by Ashland’s Committee for Community Involvement, this project conducted several forms of engagement designed to speak directly with a diverse audience of stakeholders in Ashland and solicit insights into fundamental dynamics underlying the Ashland economy. These activities included interviews, focus groups, forums, a regional business and resident survey, and review of other engagement materials provided by the City of Ashland. This engagement summary reviews the findings identified through these activities. Key Engagement Findings Outreach Overview & Demographics Overall, the public survey received 472 responses from residents and businesses owners throughout Jackson County. 174 respondents live in Ashland, 125 work in Ashland, and 79 own or manage a business in Ashland. (Survey) The majority (67%) of Ashland respondents are over the age of 45, compared to 54% of total respondents. Only 4% of Ashland’s respondents were 25 or younger. (Survey) 88% of respondents speak English only at home, while the remaining 12% speak some combination of English, Spanish, Mandarin and/or Russian. (Survey) 87% of respondents who identified as Ashland residents are permanent residents, while the rest have temporary housing, move often, or do not have stable housing in Ashland. (Survey) Of the 146 total businesses surveyed, 97 (66%) of them are small businesses with 4 or less employees. Of Ashland’s businesses respondents (83), a similar majority (51 respondents, or 61% of Ashland’s business respondents) also identified as small businesses (with 4 employees or less). (Survey) Just over half (52%) of Ashland’s businesses represented in the survey have been in operation for over ten years. (Survey) 45% of Ashland business survey respondents report that their employees work full-time, 41% part-time and 14% seasonally. (Survey) The most common descriptors of the Ashland businesses surveyed were locally owned (91%), women-owned (48%), and family-owned (47%). (Survey) Interviews and focus groups included a diverse pool of stakeholders in Ashland, including City Councilors and Planning Commissioners, developers and property owners, major employers, the development CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 61 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 143 community, SOU students, and local business owners and residents. (Interviews) Tourism and Economic Vitality Tourism is identified by Ashland survey respondents, and by interviewees, as Ashland’s greatest economic asset (with an average rank of 4.0 out of 15), along with the Rogue Valley airport (4.4), Recreational Amenities (4.9), and Southern Oregon University (5.7). Tourism was also ranked highly in open-ended survey questions, with residents citing the Oregon Shakespeare Festival (OSF) and outdoor recreation as popular attractions. (Survey, Interviews) While survey respondents believe in the strength of Ashland’s arts and tourism offerings, they hope for less focus to be paid to tourism and instead hope investment goes into lowering cost of living and supporting small businesses for year-round stability. (Survey) Both survey respondents and interviewed stakeholders believe tourism has a place in Ashland’s economic future, but that more work needs to be done to diversify the tourism industry and create an economy that supports Ashland locals – in terms of livability and wages as well as service offerings. (Survey, Interviews) Ashland stakeholders are actively working to expand and refine a marketing approach which moves beyond the Oregon Shakespeare Festival to promote the city as a year-round destination that leverages its natural beauty, events, and quality of life. Stakeholders highlighted efforts to brand Ashland as a basecamp for Southern Oregon tourism, and one idea gaining traction is the concept of “Storytown USA,” which aims to build on the city’s narrative and cultural assets. This effort also includes expanding year-round events, targeting families and younger audiences, and promoting outdoor recreation and other cultural assets. (Interviews) Post-COVID changes in tourism also includes a shift to younger, outdoors focused visitors and away from traditional cultural institutions like the Oregon Shakespeare Festival. (Interviews) Wildfire smoke, rising costs, and housing availability continue to pose significant threats to tourism viability and workforce stability. (Interviews) Business Priorities There was strong consensus that Ashland must diversify its economy beyond tourism by supporting small-scale manufacturing, remote work, and creative industries. Stakeholders highlighted the need to leverage regional partnerships, underutilized infrastructure like AFN, and redevelopment sites such as Croman Mill to attract a broader mix of employers and improve economic resilience. (Interviews, Survey) CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 62 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 144 Almost half (49%) of Ashland businesses respondents to the survey have plans to expand to additional locations, while 29% have no expansion plans, and 12% plan to expand their current location. (Survey) When Ashland business owners were asked in the survey to rank business challenges in order of importance, business owners, on average, ranked inflation, qualified employees, increased labor cost and unaffordable rents highest. (Survey) When asked about workforce challenges, Ashland’s business owner survey respondents largely cited talent pool offerings (35%), wage expectations (32%) and skills gaps (28%) as primary employment discrepancies. (Survey) Ashland’s survey respondents who are employers mentioned inflation (48%), real estate costs (32%) and labor costs (32%) as economic factors with the most significant impacts on their business. (Survey) When asked about Ashland’s economy of the future, Ashland survey respondents describe support for local businesses and arts (29% of responses), a diversified economy (24%), and a lower cost of living (28%). (Survey) Housing Affordability and Workforce Ashland’s quality of life is a compelling draw for remote workers, entrepreneurs, and leadership talent; however, high housing costs, elevated development expenses, and a perceived resistance to growth limit the city’s ability to attract and retain businesses. (Interviews) These same housing challenges affect workforce recruitment, prompting many employees to live in neighboring communities, forcing Ashland-based businesses to offer higher wages to offset commuting burdens. (Interviews) High housing costs, and lack of housing stock in Ashland was identified by stakeholders as a major barrier to attracting and retaining younger residents, SOU graduates, and essential workers, especially in healthcare, education, and service sectors. (Interviews) Workers state that Ashland is not perceived as accessible to families or moderate-income earners and that this effect is felt across many areas, such as school enrollment and neighborhood services. Similarly, when asked about barriers to equal access for economic opportunity in Ashland, 42% of survey responses cite cost of living and 21% of responses cite a lack of employers and opportunity. (Interviews, Survey) When prioritizing investments for economic development, Ashland survey respondents ranked jobs with livable wages and upward mobility as the top priority (receiving an average score of 8.1 out of the CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 63 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 145 possible 11, in which a higher number indicated higher priority), followed by small business support (7.7).(Survey) Major employers recommended increasing alignment between local institutions and industry to build workforce pipelines and support economic mobility. (Interviews) Ashland’s AFN fiber-optic infrastructure was highlighted as a powerful but underutilized asset to support remote work and entrepreneurship in the tech sector. (Interviews) Community Development and Future Growth Stakeholders broadly called for greater regional collaboration to leverage Ashland’s unique cultural, educational, and natural assets as part of a cohesive Southern Oregon strategy. (Interviews) Stakeholders emphasized the importance of balancing Ashland’s unique identity with the need for innovation and growth. Future development should honor Ashland’s identity and support values expressed by the community. (Interviews) Ashland is widely perceived as a difficult place to develop, largely due to historic barriers such as unreliable permitting, high fees, and restrictive land use policies. While some stakeholders noted recent improvements, the city’s historical reputation for regulatory hurdles and community resistance continues to deter investment, especially compared to more flexible neighboring cities. (Interviews) About half (53%) of Ashland survey respondents believe the local government to be “somewhat supportive” in helping businesses thrive, while 32% believe it is “not supportive” and 15% believe it is “very supportive”. (Survey) Stakeholders envision a more vibrant, accessible, and visually cohesive downtown, but note the need for infrastructure investment and long-term planning. (Interviews) When asked if there was a different city Ashland might take lessons from, Ashland survey respondents cited locations across the globe including Boulder, Colorado (5 mentions) and Davis, California (5 mentions). However, over half of responses described other cities in Oregon, with 27 (about 30% of all mentions) listing Bend, Oregon as a city Ashland should work to emulate. (Survey) SOU and Student Feedback Similar to other groups, students feel affordability in Ashland is a great barrier to their staying and succeeding in the community post- graduation. (Student Forum) Students value Ashland’s walkability and natural beauty, but find entertainment and retail options limited—especially for those without cars or under 21. (Student Forum) CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 64 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 146 Students desire a greater connection to the city of Ashland (and the region) through improved public transportation, expanded attractions, and inclusive, affordable events and activities that cater to younger, sober, and under-21 audiences. (Student Forum) The lack of high paying jobs and career development opportunities further discourage SOU students from envisioning careers in Ashland. (Student Forum) STIP TRATEGIC HEMES AND MPLICATIONS FOR OLICY Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) Analysis This SWOT analysis assesses Ashland’s internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as external opportunities and threats. This list has been informed through data analysis completed as part of this EOA and further vetted and augmented through engagement with Ashland’s stakeholders and community, and, finally, is supplemented by recent planning work surrounding Ashland economy including the 2022 Ashland Chamber of Commerce’s Economic Diversification Study and Ashland’s 2023 Housing Production Strategy. Strengths Strengths highlight internal advantages and positive attributes that contribute to Ashland’s economic success. – Natural beauty, walkability, safety, and High Quality of Life strong cultural identity attract visitors, remote workers, and established professionals. – The Oregon Shakespeare Vibrant Arts and Tourism Brand Festival, Cabaret Theatre, First Friday, and other arts/cultural assets position Ashland as a unique regional destination. – A highly educated resident base Educated, Engaged Community with strong civic pride and community involvement. – Presence of SOU, high-performing public Strong Institutions schools, and community-oriented organizations like Ashland’s Chamber and Travel Ashland. – Advanced internet Fiber-Optic Infrastructure (AFN) infrastructure provides a solid base for remote work and digital entrepreneurship. – Ashland’s historic charm and Distinctive Small-Town Character walkable downtown create a welcoming and vibrant atmosphere for residents, businesses, and visitors. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 65 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 147 – Location along Interstate-5 offers Strategic Interstate Access regional connectivity and logistical advantages for businesses, visitors, and talent movement. – A well-loved park system, access Abundant Outdoor Recreation to Bear Creek, mountain biking and ski trails, and nearby vineyards enhance quality of life and attract tourism and recreation-driven business. – Local firms in medical devices, A Niche Manufacturing Sector agricultural products, and green technology provide a foundation for light industry and economic diversification. Publicly Owned Land Offers Additional Development Potential – While not included in the formal buildable lands inventory, city- and SOU-owned properties present valuable opportunities for strategic development, partnerships, and community-serving projects. Weaknesses Weaknesses identifies internal challenges or limitations that hinder Ashland’s economic progress. – Housing High Cost of Living and Limited Housing Options affordability limits workforce attraction and retention, student stay rates, and business growth. – Perceptions of regulatory Perceived Difficulty in Development complexity, high fees, and limited available land deter business expansion and investment in Ashland. – Seasonal fluctuations and Over-Reliance on Tourism vulnerability to external shocks (e.g., wildfire smoke, pandemics) threaten economic stability. Disconnect between SOU, Weak Talent Retention Pipeline – Ashland’s school district, and local employers reduces youth retention and career pathway development. Efforts across sectors and Fragmented Economic Coordination – institutions are often siloed, making regional and intra-city collaboration harder to sustain. Limited Investment in Infrastructure and Downtown – A lack of recent development and public or private Revitalization reinvestment in the downtown core and key infrastructure assets may weaken Ashland’s economic competitiveness and long-term vitality. A shortage of affordable, Insufficient Childcare Availability – accessible childcare options creates barriers to workforce participation and family retention. – Ashland’s high cost Lack of Diversity in Ashland’s Community of living contribute to limited racial, economic, and age diversity in the CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 66 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 148 city’s population. Without housing and job options for younger residents, Ashland risks demographic and economic stagnation. – Some opposition among locals to Cultural Resistance to Growth new development, including housing and commercial uses, constrains progress and deepens barriers to affordability and economic renewal. – Shrinking student populations are Declining School Enrollment reducing funding and limiting the school district’s ability to maintain robust academic and extracurricular offerings. Limited Availability of Small and Mid-Sized Commercial Sites – While some demand may be absorbed by surplus Employment (E-1) lands, there is a shortage of centrally located, smaller-scale commercial spaces with strong visibility and foot traffic—particularly for businesses serving the tourism and cultural sectors who might need a space in downtown. – The Croman Inactive Ownership of Key Redevelopment Sites Mill and Railroad properties represent Ashland’s largest developable land holdings, but disengaged ownership and speculative holding patterns have stalled redevelopment and limited the city’s ability to activate these strategic sites. Opportunities Opportunities explore external factors or trends that could be leveraged for growth or improvement in Ashland’s economy. – Sites at Croman Mill, the Railroad, Redevelop Strategic Sites University District, and Downtown all have unique opportunities to develop in such a way as to add to Ashland’s vibrancy. Build on Ashland’s Expand and Diversify Tourism Offerings – arts and culture foundation by promoting year-round tourism through events like the Mystery and Comedy Festivals, expanded winter activities, and outdoor recreation experiences such as skiing, biking, and hiking. Strategies for Economic Diversification can also be found in Ashland’s Chamber of Commerce’s Economic Diversification study (2022). The Rogue Valley Leverage Agritourism and Culinary Assets – wine region, farm-to-table culture, and local food production industries offer growth opportunities in culinary tourism, food entrepreneurship, and value-added agriculture. – Encourage growth in Ashland’s non- Diversify Beyond Tourism tourism sectors including education, healthcare, creative entrepreneurship, and niche manufacturing to build a more resilient local economy. – Support sectors that Grow Creative and Cultural Industries complement Ashland’s identity, including film, digital arts, visual CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 67 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 149 arts, and culinary arts, to attract talent and expand economic opportunities. – Enhance Ashland’s Capitalize on Outdoor Recreation Economy brand as an outdoor destination by investing in assets like Mt. Ashland Ski Area, trail systems, and nature-based events that can draw visitors beyond peak tourist seasons. – Advance Support Expansion in Health and Wellness Sectors growth in healthcare-adjacent industries, such as senior care, functional medicine, and integrative wellness, in alignment with regional trends and demographics. – Collaborate with neighbors, Deepen Regional Partnerships including Talent, Phoenix, and Medford, and with regional partners like SOREDI, to align workforce development, transportation, and infrastructure investment. – Expand housing, Engage Younger and Diverse Populations employment, and civic opportunities for families, students, and younger professionals to foster long-term community vitality. – Leverage Elevate Ashland’s Brand and Marketing Reach Ashland’s identity to attract new residents, businesses, and investment through targeted branding and promotion focused on lifestyle, creativity, and inclusivity. – Position Attract Remote Workers and Lifestyle Migrants Ashland as a high-quality living destination for professionals and retirees relocating from urban areas, bringing investment, civic engagement, and economic stability. Coordinate Housing and Employment Land Strategies for As the City continues to implement policies from Mutual Benefit – the 2023 Housing Production Strategy, identify opportunities to simultaneously advance goals for commercial and employment land. Strategies such as increased residential allowances in employment zones, adaptive reuse, and tools like land banks or MUPTE can help support both housing production and vibrant, flexible mixed-use areas that contribute to Ashland’s economic vitality. Enhance Connectivity Between Downtown and E-1 Improve pedestrian access, wayfinding, and Employment Areas – branding between the downtown core and northern commercial nodes to increase customer flow and visibility for businesses located outside the traditional retail core. Expand Retail Flexibility Within Employment Zones – Reevaluate retail use caps in select E-1 areas—such as the Oak Street/Clear Creek corridor—to allow for greater integration of customer-facing businesses and support mixed commercial activity near downtown. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 68 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 150 Threats Threats examine external challenges or risks that could negatively impact Ashland’s goals. – Persistently low or negative Stagnant Population Growth population growth limits workforce availability, school enrollment, and the long-term sustainability of city services and local institutions. – Wildfire risk, poor air quality, Impacts from Climate Change extreme heat, and declining water availability threaten public health, economic activity, outdoor-oriented quality of life, and Ashland’s appeal as a destination. – Neighboring communities offer lower costs Regional Competition of living, lower costs of development, easier permitting, and more industrial space, attracting businesses and talent that Ashland could lose. – Other small, arts-driven Competition from Peer Communities cities like Bend and Santa Fe compete with Ashland for tourists, arts funding, and business investment. A narrow economic base anchored Limited Economic Resilience – in tourism and cultural institutions leaves the city vulnerable to external shocks. – Southern SOU Enrollment Has Not Recovered Post-COVID Oregon University continues to experience lower student enrollment, reducing its economic and cultural contributions to the local community. An influx in high- Rising Housing Costs from In-Migration – income residents from out-of-state can further inflate housing prices and risk displacing local families. Strategic Themes 1.Strengthen Economic Resilience Through Diversification Ashland’s economy is heavily reliant on tourism and service sectors, leaving it vulnerable to seasonal fluctuations, wildfires, cost of living challenges, and broader economic disruptions. There is interest expanding Ashland’s tourism economy to attract more visitors at different times of the year, as well as to expand the sectors which are most active in Ashland. This could include light manufacturing, tech, food production, wellness, and specialty industries— particularly those aligned with Ashland’s lifestyle values and small-town character. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 69 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 151 2.Foster an Inclusive, Forward-Looking Community Ashland’s strong sense of place and cultural identity are major assets, but there is a tension between preserving what exists and adapting to future needs. Residents recognize the need to welcome new residents, businesses, and ideas to avoid economic and social stagnation. Embracing thoughtful growth—especially that which supports families, younger residents, and diverse voices—is seen as essential to keeping Ashland vibrant and relevant for future generations. Unlock the Potential of Local Talent and Institutions 3. There is untapped opportunity to better connect local educational institutions—particularly SOU and Ashland High School—to economic development goals. Strategies could include efforts to build career pipelines, host internships, develop networking programs, and support entrepreneurship, especially in partnership with regional organizations. Make Space for Business Growth 4. Ashland’s built environment and development patterns could act as barriers to expansion. It is important to have flexible, ready-to-develop commercial and industrial space, as well as reasonable permitting costs and consistent regulations, to support economic growth. Sites such as the Croman Mill and the railroad properties are of strategic priority. Build Regional Partnerships to Scale Impact 5. Ashland’s economic future is closely tied to the broader Southern Oregon region, and stakeholders highlighted the need for deeper collaboration with neighboring cities, SOREDI, the SBDC, and workforce partners. Stronger alignment is needed on land use planning, workforce development, business support, and infrastructure investment—particularly to access larger labor pools, grow entrepreneurship, and compete for state and federal funding. Activate Ashland’s Lifestyle Advantage 6. Ashland’s greatest strengths—its natural beauty, safety, walkability, cultural amenities, and robust fiber infrastructure—are clear economic assets that position the city to attract remote workers, lifestyle-driven entrepreneurs, and talent seeking high quality of life. By strategically leveraging these assets, Ashland can better align its economic development efforts to attract the types of businesses, visitors, residents, and workers that reflect its long-term vision and values. CITY OF ASHLAND MAY 16, 2025 PAGE 70 DRAFT EOA Total Page Number: 152 AshlandEconomic Opportunity Analysis Outreach Summary DRAFT Prepared by CAI May 20, 2025 O VERVIEW Purpose This outreach summary presents the engagement activities and findings that informed Ashland’s 2025 update to the Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA). In collaboration with the City, the project team prioritized inclusive outreach to ensure participation from individuals and businesses across a diverse geographic range within Ashland. Engagement efforts were designed to capture the perspectives of Ashland’s residents, business community, government officials, partners, and a broad range of local leaders, following the guidelines set forth in the project’s Inclusive Outreach Plan. Engagement activities used a mix of in-person, virtual, and hybrid approaches. These included a public survey, distributed regionally, interviews and focus groups with Ashland stakeholders, an open forum with students at Southern Oregon University, and presentations to the Planning Commission and City Council. Organization of this Report The remainder of this report is organized as follows: The section summarizes the main themes and insights Key Findings gathered across all engagement activities. The section describes each Findings by Engagement Type engagement activity and highlights the key takeaways from each. provides the full list of survey questions and charts Appendix A summarizing responses. KF EY INDINGS Outreach Overview & Demographics Overall, the public survey received 472 responses from residents and businesses owners throughout Jackson County. 174 respondents live in Ashland, 125 work in Ashland, and 79 own or manage a business in Ashland ( ( (). (Survey) Exhibit 1)Exhibit 2)Exhibit 3 Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 1 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 153 The majority (67%) of Ashland respondents are over the age of 45, compared to 54% of total respondents. Only 4% of Ashland’s respondents were 25 or younger (). (Survey) Exhibit 9 88% of respondents speak English only at home, while the remaining 12% speak some combination of English, Spanish, Mandarin and/or Russian (). (Survey) Exhibit 8 87% of respondents who identified as Ashland residents are permanent residents, while the rest have temporary housing, move often, or do not have stable housing in Ashland (). (Survey) Exhibit 4 Of the 146 total businesses surveyed, 97 (66%) of them are small businesses with 4 or less employees. Of Ashland’s businesses respondents (83), a similar majority (51 respondents, or 61% of Ashland’s business respondents) also identified as small businesses (with 4 employees or less). (Survey) Just over half (52%) of Ashland’s businesses represented in the survey have been in operation for over ten years. (Survey) 45% of Ashland business survey respondents report that their employees work full-time, 41% part-time and 14% seasonally ( Exhibit ). (Survey) 16 The most common descriptors of the Ashland businesses surveyed were locally owned (91%), women-owned (48%), and family-owned (47%) (). (Survey) Exhibit 17 Interviews and focus groups included a diverse pool of stakeholders in Ashland, including City Councilors and Planning Commissioners, developers and property owners, major employers, the development community, SOU students, and local business owners and residents. (Interviews) Tourism and Economic Vitality Tourism is identified by Ashland survey respondents, and by interviewees, as Ashland’s greatest economic asset (with an average rank of 4.0 out of 15), along with the Rogue Valley airport (4.4), Recreational Amenities (4.9), and Southern Oregon University (5.7) (). Tourism was also ranked highly in open-ended survey Exhibit 24 questions, with residents citing the Oregon Shakespeare Festival (OSF) and outdoor recreation as popular attractions. (Survey, Interviews) While survey respondents believe in the strength of Ashland’s arts and tourism offerings, they hope for less focus to be paid to tourism and instead hope investment goes into lowering cost of living and supporting small businesses for year-round stability ( Exhibit 28). (Survey) Both survey respondents and interviewed stakeholders believe tourism has a place in Ashland’s economic future, but that more work needs to be done to diversify the tourism industry and create an Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 2 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 154 economy that supports Ashland locals – in terms of livability and wages as well as service offerings. (Survey, Interviews) Ashland stakeholders are actively working to expand and refine a marketing approach which moves beyond the Oregon Shakespeare Festival to promote the city as a year-round destination that leverages its natural beauty, events, and quality of life. Stakeholders highlighted efforts to brand Ashland as a basecamp for Southern Oregon tourism, and one idea gaining traction is the concept of “Storytown USA,” which aims to build on the city’s narrative and cultural assets. This effort also includes expanding year-round events, targeting families and younger audiences, and promoting outdoor recreation and other cultural assets. (Interviews) Post-COVID changes in tourism also includes a shift to younger, outdoors focused visitors and away from traditional cultural institutions like the Oregon Shakespeare Festival. (Interviews) Wildfire smoke, rising costs, and housing availability continue to pose significant threats to tourism viability and workforce stability. (Interviews) Business Priorities There was strong consensus that Ashland must diversify its economy beyond tourism by supporting small-scale manufacturing, remote work, and creative industries. Stakeholders highlighted the need to leverage regional partnerships, underutilized infrastructure like AFN, and redevelopment sites such as Croman Mill to attract a broader mix of employers and improve economic resilience. (Interviews, Survey) Almost half (49%) of Ashland businesses respondents to the survey have plans to expand to additional locations, while 29% have no expansion plans, and 12% plan to expand their current location (). (Survey) Exhibit 18 When Ashland business owners were asked in the survey to rank business challenges in order of importance, business owners, on average, ranked inflation, qualified employees, increased labor cost and unaffordable rents highest (). (Survey) Exhibit 19 When asked about workforce challenges, Ashland’s business owner survey respondents largely cited talent pool offerings (35%), wage expectations (32%) and skills gaps (28%) as primary employment discrepancies (). (Survey) Exhibit 20 Ashland’s survey respondents who are employers mentioned inflation (48%), real estate costs (32%) and labor costs (32%) as economic factors with the most significant impacts on their business ( Exhibit ). (Survey) 21 When asked about Ashland’s economy of the future, Ashland survey respondents describe support for local businesses and arts (29% of Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 3 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 155 responses), a diversified economy (24%), and a lower cost of living (28%) (). (Survey) Exhibit 29 Housing Affordability and Workforce Ashland’s quality of life is a compelling draw for remote workers, entrepreneurs, and leadership talent; however, high housing costs, elevated development expenses, and a perceived resistance to growth limit the city’s ability to attract and retain businesses. (Interviews) These same housing challenges affect workforce recruitment, prompting many employees to live in neighboring communities, forcing Ashland-based businesses to offer higher wages to offset commuting burdens. (Interviews) High housing costs, and lack of housing stock in Ashland was identified by stakeholders as a major barrier to attracting and retaining younger residents, SOU graduates, and essential workers, especially in healthcare, education, and service sectors. (Interviews) Workers state that Ashland is not perceived as accessible to families or moderate-income earners and that this effect is felt across many areas, such as school enrollment and neighborhood services. Similarly, when asked about barriers to equal access for economic opportunity in Ashland, 42% of survey responses cite cost of living and 21% of responses cite a lack of employers and opportunity (). Exhibit 26 (Interviews, Survey) When prioritizing investments for economic development, Ashland survey respondents ranked jobs with livable wages and upward mobility as the top priority (receiving an average score of 8.1 out of the possible 11, in which a higher number indicated higher priority), followed by small business support (7.7) (.(Survey) Exhibit 27) Major employers recommended increasing alignment between local institutions and industry to build workforce pipelines and support economic mobility. (Interviews) Ashland’s AFN fiber-optic infrastructure was highlighted as a powerful but underutilized asset to support remote work and entrepreneurship in the tech sector. (Interviews) Community Development and Future Growth Stakeholders broadly called for greater regional collaboration to leverage Ashland’s unique cultural, educational, and natural assets as part of a cohesive Southern Oregon strategy. (Interviews) Stakeholders emphasized the importance of balancing Ashland’s unique identity with the need for innovation and growth. Future development should honor Ashland’s identity and support values expressed by the community. (Interviews) Ashland is widely perceived as a difficult place to develop, largely due to historic barriers such as unreliable permitting, high fees, and Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 4 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 156 restrictive land use policies. While some stakeholders noted recent improvements, the city’s historical reputation for regulatory hurdles and community resistance continues to deter investment, especially compared to more flexible neighboring cities. (Interviews) About half (53%) of Ashland survey respondents believe the local government to be “somewhat supportive” in helping businesses thrive, while 32% believe it is “not supportive” and 15% believe it is “very supportive” (). (Survey) Exhibit 25 Stakeholders envision a more vibrant, accessible, and visually cohesive downtown, but note the need for infrastructure investment and long-term planning. (Interviews) When asked if there was a different city Ashland might take lessons from, Ashland survey respondents cited locations across the globe including Boulder, Colorado (5 mentions) and Davis, California (5 mentions). However, over half of responses described other cities in Oregon, with 27 (about 30% of all mentions) listing Bend, Oregon as a city Ashland should work to emulate (). (Survey) Exhibit 31 SOU and Student Feedback Similar to other groups, students feel affordability in Ashland is a great barrier to their staying and succeeding in the community post- graduation. (Student Forum) Students value Ashland’s walkability and natural beauty, but find entertainment and retail options limited—especially for those without cars or under 21. (Student Forum) Students desire a greater connection to the city of Ashland (and the region) through improved public transportation, expanded attractions, and inclusive, affordable events and activities that cater to younger, sober, and under-21 audiences. (Student Forum) The lack of high paying jobs and career development opportunities further discourage SOU students from envisioning careers in Ashland. (Student Forum) FET INDINGS BY NGAGEMENT YPE Business and Resident Survey A public survey of businesses and residents was conducted to gather community’s perspectives on Ashland’s economic strengths, challenges, opportunities for growth as well as strategies to support a high quality of life for residents in Ashland. The survey, distributed regionally, also aimed to collect feedback on Ashland’s economic role within the Rogue Valley and provides context which helps to shape a vision for the City’s economic future. CAI, in collaboration with the City of Medford and the City of Ashland, designed the survey and finally published it online on January 8, 2025. The th Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 5 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 157 survey was offered in English and Spanish. The survey was accessible online, via QR code, and was mailed and emailed to existing distribution lists from the city communication department. The survey was closed March 5, 2025. th includes the full list of survey questions and analysis of the Appendix A responses to those questions. Respondent Demographic Information Overall, the public survey received 472 responses from residents and business owners throughout Jackson County. 174 respondents live in Ashland, 125 work in Ashland, and 79 own or manage a business in Ashland. The following are additional characteristics of survey respondents: Of the 174 respondents who live in Ashland, 56% (98) work in Ashland. Of the 125 workers in Ashland, 78% (98) also live in Ashland. ( () Exhibit 1)Exhibit 3 Of the 125 respondents who work in Ashland, 14 live in Medford and another 14 live in other areas in the Rogue Valley. ( Exhibit 2) 87% of respondents who identified as Ashland residents are permanent residents, while the rest have temporary housing, move often, or do not have stable housing in Ashland. () Exhibit 4 Respondents who work in Ashland report mostly working full-time (67%), while 20% work part-time and 8% are retired. ( Exhibit 5) 54% of Ashland respondents are female, compared to 41% reporting male and 4% as non-binary or other. () Exhibit 6 88% of respondents speak English only at home, while the remaining 12% speak some combination of English, Spanish, Mandarin and/or Russian. () Exhibit 8 The majority (67%) of Ashland respondents are over the age of 45, compared to 54% of total respondents. Only 4% of Ashland’s respondents were 25 or younger. () Exhibit 9 63% of respondents reported a household income over $75,000, similar to the survey average of 64%. 6% of Ashland respondents reported making an income of $25,000 or less annually. () Exhibit 10 Ashland’s Business Respondents A total of 146 survey respondents identified as an owner or manager of a business. 79 of these businesses were located within Ashland. Within the Ashland business community, 16% of businesses were in Retail Goods, 13% Professional Services, Arts and Food Services both 11%, and 10% in Lodging. () Exhibit 13 Just over half (53%) of Ashland business respondents have been operational for over ten years. () Exhibit 14 Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 6 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 158 A majority of Ashland’s business respondents (61%) operate with 4 employees or less). () Exhibit 15 45% of Ashland business employees work full-time, 41% part-time and 14% seasonally. () Exhibit 16 The most common descriptors of the Ashland businesses surveyed were locally owned (91%), women-owned (48%), and family-owned (47%). () Exhibit 17 Almost half (49%) of Ashland businesses have plans to expand to additional locations, while 29% have no expansion plans, and 12% plan to expand their current location. () Exhibit 18 When Ashland business owners were asked to rank business challenges in order of importance, business owners, on average, ranked inflation, qualified employees, increased labor cost and unaffordable rents highest. () Exhibit 19 When asked about workforce challenges, Ashland business owners largely cited talent pool offerings (35%), wage expectations (32%) and skills gaps (28%) as primary employment discrepancies. () Exhibit 20 Ashland employers mentioned inflation (48%), real estate costs (32%) and labor costs (32%) as economic factors with the most significant impacts on their business. () Exhibit 21 When asked about other business challenges that may not have been covered by survey questions, Ashland business owners had a wide range of open-ended responses, with no issue mentioned by a majority of respondents. 21% of comments were regarding regulations, 16% included ideas for attractions and 14% expressed further need for small business support. () Exhibit 22 Current Perceptions of Ashland Survey respondents were asked multiple questions on the economic advantages, strengths and weaknesses currently affecting Ashland business and economic development. Ashland respondents saw Workforce Availability and Skill as some of Ashland’s best economic advantages. () Exhibit 23 Tourism is identified by Ashland respondents as Ashland’s greatest economic asset (with an average rank of 4.0 out of 15), along with the Rogue Valley airport (4.4), Recreational Amenities (4.9), and Southern Oregon University (5.7). () Exhibit 24 About half (53%) of Ashland respondents believe the local government to be “somewhat supportive” in helping businesses thrive, while 32% believe it is “not supportive” and 15% believe it is “very supportive” ( Exhibit 25) When asked about barriers to equal access for economic opportunity in Ashland, 42% of responses cite cost of living and 21% of responses cite a lack of employers and opportunity. () Exhibit 26 Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 7 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 159 Visioning and Opportunities Survey respondents were asked multiple questions regarding their vision for Ashland’s future and opportunities present for improvement. When prioritizing investments for economic development, Ashland respondents ranked jobs with livable wages and upward mobility as the top priority (receiving an average score of 8.1 out of the possible 11, in which a higher number indicated higher priority), followed by small business support (7.7). ( Exhibit 27) While respondents indicated they believe tourism currently to be an asset to the local economy, when asked an open ended question about changes and improvements in the business environment, 29% of responses describe a decreased focus on tourism. A further 25% discuss cost of living improvements. ( Exhibit 28) When asked about Ashland’s economy of the future, Ashland respondents describe support for local businesses and arts (29% of responses), a diversified economy (24%), and a lower cost of living (28%). () Exhibit 29 Similarly, many Ashland residents presented big ideas involving creating attractions and improving the local quality of life. ( Exhibit ) 30 When asked if there was a different city Ashland might take lessons from, respondents cited locations across the globe. However, over half of responses described other cities in Oregon, with 27 mentioning Bend, Oregon as a strong model. () Exhibit 31 When asked if there was a different city Ashland might take lessons from, respondents cited locations across the globe including Boulder, Colorado (5 mentions) and Davis, California (5 mentions). However, over half of responses described other cities in Oregon, with 27 (about 30% of all mentions) listing Bend, Oregon as a city Ashland should work to emulate. () Exhibit 31 Interviews and Focus Groups This project engaged with many of Ashland’s stakeholders through interviews and focus groups, gathering feedback about Ashland’s economic strengths and challenges as well as asking about a vision of Ashland’s economic future. Stakeholders represented the following major interest groups: Institutional Tourism City Leadership Business And Industry City Council Local Institutions Commercial Development Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 8 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 160 Notably, this effort included reaching out to several healthcare/social service businesses for engagement, but we did not receive any feedback. The summary below reflects key themes exploring the future of Ashland’s economic development. Economic Identity and Diversity Stakeholders noted that post-COVID changes in tourism include a shift to younger, outdoors focused visitors and away from traditional This shift cultural institutions like the Oregon Shakespeare Festival. has highlighted the city’s reliance on tourism and brought concerns from stakeholders on economic vulnerability due to the current reliance on tourism revolving around OSF. Both city employees and local economic leaders agree on the need for more economic diversity to support Ashland’s long-term growth and an economy which flourishes through all four seasons of the year. While tourism supports many local businesses, it also brings challenges like low wages, housing pressure, and economic vulnerability to seasonal trends and climate events. All stakeholders describe various opportunities and strategies to diversify Ashland’s economy. Experts in tourism focus on how to diversify the tourism industry in Ashland beyond the Oregon Shakespeare Festival to attract visitors , including ski trails, mountain biking and other with Ashland’s other assets recreational assets, and other events such as the Mystery Festival or a Comedy Festival. Experts in Commercial Development and Industry emphasize the need to diversify the economy through local entrepreneurship and existing . Participants pointed to specialty manufacturers and niche industries creative firms as growth areas that could help balance the economy. Some expressed concern that the city’s identity and policy choices overly favor tourism at the expense of broader economic development. Other stakeholders explore diversification through investing in new industries for the city, including light manufacturing, green technology, and professional services. Still others suggest strategic targeting industries already growing in Ashland, such as healthcare, food processing, high end restaurants and retail services. Multiple interviewees expressed how important it is for the city to align economic development in Ashland with their established values and identity, primarily around sustainability and environmentally friendly growth. Tourism in Ashland Tourism remains the backbone of Ashland’s economy, but stakeholders are actively working to broaden its appeal and stabilize . Tourism stakeholders acknowledged that Ashland’s economy is it year-round fundamentally dependent on tourism to sustain its density of restaurants, retail, and cultural venues. Most stakeholders are pursuing efforts to extend Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 9 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 161 the visitor season through winter events, festivals, and new branding strategies that diversify tourism beyond OSF. Developing Ashland as a "basecamp" for Southern Oregon and targeting drive markets like Portland and Seattle are seen as key tactics for long-term sustainability. Collaboration across tourism and business sectors is fragmented, and stronger coordination is needed to align efforts and scale impact. While many groups and individuals are leading successful initiatives (Ashland Chamber of Commerce, Epic Ashland, Travel Ashland, being a few mentioned), participants noted that these efforts often happen in silos, missing opportunities for synergy. Participants called for shared infrastructure, communication, and cross-promotion to elevate Ashland’s collective impact. Branding efforts like “Storytown USA” and event coordination may show promise, but require more leadership and investment to reach scale. Ashland is making progress in attracting families and younger . visitors, but infrastructure and perception challenges persist Stakeholders highlighted emerging family-friendly assets like beginner trails, ice cream shops, and events, but noted that more is needed to compete with peer destinations. Accessibility, parking, and wayfinding were cited as barriers for some visitors, especially older or disabled guests. Wildfire smoke, rising costs, and housing availability continue to pose significant threats to tourism viability and workforce stability. Although local fire conditions have improved recently, the unpredictability of regional smoke has shifted peak seasons and added financial risk. Employers are seeing increased interest from job seekers, but housing shortages and high costs remain major barriers to staffing, especially for seasonal or temporary workers. Participants expressed interest in promoting Ashland as a “fire-wise” destination and implementing resilience strategies to address long-term risks. Stakeholders envision a more vibrant, accessible, and visually cohesive downtown, but note the need for infrastructure investment . Participants called for improvements to and long-term planning streetscape, signage, lighting, and wayfinding—especially at gateways and downtown entry points. Existing issues like poor sidewalk ramps, outdated fixtures, and visual clutter were described as detracting from the visitor experience. There was shared interest in a clear 20-year plan to guide downtown revitalization and align with broader community growth goals. Housing Affordability and Workforce Challenges High housing costs were identified by stakeholders as a major barrier to attracting and retaining essential workers, especially in healthcare, . Most workers employed by Ashland-based education, and service sectors firms commute from surrounding cities, which increases wage pressure and limits talent attraction. Some viewed housing as a regional issue, suggesting that improving public transit and commuter systems to more affordable towns and cities around Ashland could reduce strain on Ashland’s housing stock. Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 10 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 162 High housing costs significantly impact SOU student retention in Ashland after graduation; despite interest in staying, many students This limits the city's ability to are priced out of the local housing market. retain young, educated talent, undermines workforce development, and contributes to the growing disconnect between the student population and long-term community integration. Stakeholders emphasized the urgent need for accessible, community- Commuting into Ashland based housing for young families and workers. was seen as a significant detriment for business owners looking to hire entry level or lower paying positions. One example of this is the local hospitals, with interviewees sharing that even though the hospital system offers competitive wages, they have difficulty filling non-clinical roles that are vital for their operations. Some Stakeholders differ on ideas to improve housing affordability. believe that the Urban Growth Boundary and the state’s land use laws pose a barrier, while others advocate for increased building incentives and more applicable local policy. Still others suggest that Ashland embrace a more regional approach to housing which relies on nearby communities like Talent and Phoenix to continue to provide affordable housing. Ashland’s high quality of life and natural beauty help attract leadership talent, but workforce recruitment is limited by housing . Manufacturing employers reported costs and regional labor dynamics that most of their workers live in Medford, White City, or other nearby areas due to affordability. While Ashland appeals to executives and transplants seeking lifestyle benefits, recruiting younger or entry-level workers is more difficult. Cost of living and a lack of suitable housing for working-age residents and families were frequently cited as barriers to worker retention as well. Employers recommended increasing alignment between local institutions and industry to build workforce pipelines and support Participants noted a disconnect between SOU, Ashland economic mobility. High School, and the region’s employers, with few internships, job fairs, or training partnerships. There was interest in collaborating with education partners to support career exploration and skill-building at the local level. On- the-job training and entry-level pathways were seen as viable if institutional partnerships could be strengthened. Infrastructure, Land Use, and Development Ashland’s limited manufacturing base and constrained space hinder industry growth, prompting many companies to expand in other White City and Medford were repeatedly cited as more viable regional cities. locations for industrial or business expansion due to cheaper land, less regulation, and a larger labor pool. Businesses saw Ashland as an excellent headquarters for culture and leadership, but not as the primary site for production or scaling. The lack of large, ready-to-develop sites, and the cost of Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 11 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 163 retrofitting older buildings, were barriers to growing Ashland’s industrial footprint. Ashland is often viewed as difficult to build and do business in, due to restrictive state land-use laws and a complex permitting process. Stakeholders criticized these regulatory hurdles as discouraging both industrial and commercial investment. Others noted that this process has improved in recent years, but historical perception bears a heavy influence. include unused areas like the Suggested opportunities for redevelopment Croman Mill site and the railroad district, which could be turned into light industrial zones, business incubators, or mixed-use developments. S takeholders highlighted Croman Mill as a major opportunity for new housing, employment, or campus-style development, but cited infrastructure and cleanup hurdles like the area’s special planning requirements and remaining environmental remediation needs. Participants suggested reviewing zoning and flexibility tools and tapping state/federal programs to make these sites development-ready. Ashland’s AFN fiber-optic infrastructurewas highlighted as a powerful but underutilized asset to support remote work and entrepreneurship in the tech sector. Stakeholders believe that current development incentives from Ashland or mismatched relative to local demand. and Oregon, may be underutilized For example, there are many incentives to build mixed-use developments, but they do not offset the cost of building enough to lower the cost of rent. Mixed- use development is considered desirable but financially infeasible under current market conditions and incentive structures.Participants said that construction and operational costs for mixed-use buildings remain too high relative to local demand for space, while incentives such as abatements or zone overlays were viewed as insufficient to close the cost gap or offset risk. Seismic retrofits, elevator requirements, and lack of density demand were noted as additional constraints. Participants emphasized the need to support and retain existing small . businesses, especially those seeking to improve or adapt properties Stakeholders said that even modest upgrades can trigger expensive code compliance issues, which disproportionately impact small business owners. Supporting reinvestment in older buildings and providing technical assistance or fee relief were suggested approaches. Community Health For multiple stakeholders, mental health and emotional well-being SOU data showing emerged as foundational concerns across sectors. mental health as the top reason students drop out, rather than academic performance. Business leaders noted similar challenges in workforce retention at regional employers. Stakeholders called for investments in community wellness There is infrastructure and policies that support emotional resilience. Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 12 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 164 a strong emphasis on the idea that economic development must include social and emotional health as part of a comprehensive strategy. Regionalism and Community Collaboration There is strong support among stakeholders for increased collaboration across cities, sectors, and institutions to promote shared Stakeholders emphasized partnerships with regional economic goals. organizations like SOREDI and nearby communities as essential to Ashland’s future economic resilience. SOU’s President’s Employers Roundtable was cited as an effective model for aligning educational outcomes with workforce needs and long-term planning efforts. Stakeholders broadly called for sustained regional dialogue and coordination to better leverage Ashland’s unique cultural, educational, and natural assets as part of a cohesive Southern Oregon Local institutions are actively engaged in fostering cross-sector strategy. cooperation, such as the Chamber of Commerce’s ongoing partnerships with SOU, the City of Ashland, and local development groups. When it comes to supporting business, several participants expressed a need for stronger business-to-business networking and mentorship . Stakeholders to support local entrepreneurship and industry growth shared that they were often unaware of other businesses operating in Ashland and saw value in creating sector-specific meetups or forums. Support organizations like SOREDI and the Chamber were appreciated, but businesses called for deeper peer-to-peer connections and practical resources. Mentorship opportunities for new or scaling businesses were highlighted as a key gap. Community Character and Change Stakeholders emphasized the importance of balancing Ashland’s While there unique identity with the need for innovation and growth. was recognition of the city's strong cultural, environmental, and aesthetic character, there was also agreement that thoughtful, value-aligned development is essential for long-term sustainability. Developers and land owners believe that form-based development standards and community development fees may add to Ashland’s character and desirability, but also wonder if it adds costs to projects – costs they wouldn’t face in nearby areas. Stakeholders encouraged a “yes, and” approach, which focused on supporting growth that complements rather than compromises The proposed university district, integrating Ashland’s distinct character. senior living, student housing, retail, and public amenities, was cited as a model for multi-purpose development that serves diverse community needs. There was a unified call for smart, intentional growth guided by shared community values and a long-term vision, ensuring that Participants took Ashland evolves without losing what makes it special. pride in Ashland’s distinct identity and expressed a desire to see future Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 13 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 165 development enhance—rather than erode—the city’s sense of place, character, and connection to the natural environment. Southern Oregon University Student Forum This pop-up event, hosted at the SOU Student Union, included a discussion with 12 Students from SOU. The diverse group of participants included 5 freshman, 1 sophomore, 4 juniors and 2 seniors. The students represented majors in Sustainability, Economics, Music, Political Science, Communications, Chemistry, Education, Sociology, Business, and Computer Science. The discussion explored challenges and opportunities that students experience living, studying and working in Ashland as well as a vision for the future of Ashland’s economy. Opportunities Students appreciate Ashland’s natural beauty, small-town charm, and easy access to hiking and outdoor recreation. Many students chose SOU specifically because of the walkable environment and scenic setting. SOU has strong community ties; faculty help connect students to internships and local job opportunities. Professors were praised for helping connect students with opportunities, however, these connections were often limited to university-related networks. Students value the arts and culture scene, though some find it intimidating or inaccessible. Interest in youth-friendly activities, such as go-karts, non-alcoholic events, and expanded public gatherings. Students pointed out a lack of indoor, non- alcohol-centric venues and wanted more variety in affordable entertainment options. Existing programs like Open Mic or First Friday were appreciated, but not widely known or accessible. Students called for better promotion and earlier timing of events to increase participation. Challenges The students perceive that Ashland’s local economy is geared more toward retirees and tourists than young professionals, making it difficult for students to envision their life after graduation in Ashland. The cost of living and constrained job market pushed students to look elsewhere for their next steps Several students described Ashland as unaffordable, particularly when starting out in their careers. Others noted a lack of entry-level or industry- aligned job opportunities outside the university. Students noted that there are few job opportunities in economics, STEM fields, and limited networking or career development events. The perception that SOU and Ashland are heavily arts-focused is accompanied by limited pathways in other fields like physics, economics, or agriculture. Opportunities Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 14 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 166 in food systems, especially processing infrastructure, were described as underdeveloped despite a strong local agricultural base. There was a perceived disconnect between SOU and the broader Ashland community; students often identify more with the university than the town. This lack of broader community integration reduces students' interest in staying after graduation. This disconnect was partially due to a lack of activities for their age demographic, particularly for those under 21. Students without cars also often felt isolated on campus, as the local public transportation is insufficient for reaching Medford or grocery stores in the surrounding region (while the Route 10 bus was praised, many said it wasn’t a viable substitute for accessing Medford regularly). Limited shopping hours, entertainment options geared toward older adults, and a lack of youth-oriented venues were also seen as barriers to fully enjoying the city. Some students, with expertise in agriculture, voiced concerns about long-term sustainability of local farming and the lack of mid-chain processing facilities in Ashland. City Council and Planning Commission Ashland’s Planning Commission reviewed the Inclusive Engagement Plan which directed the engagement conducted in support of the Economic Opportunity Analysis. This is the engagement described in this engagement summary. Preliminary findings, including analysis of the Buildable Lands Inventory (BLI), economic forecasts, and emerging community priorities, were presented to the Planning Commission and the City Council of Ashland in person on April 22, 2025 at a Joint Session. Discussion at the session included feedback on the direction of the project, and discussion on strategic elements including concerns about limited available land controlled by a few major owners, and the untapped potential in redevelopment, city-owned parcels, and underutilized properties. Demographic shifts, including an aging population and fewer families, also raised important workforce and housing challenges that are of interest to both parties Upcoming presentations will present the draft complete Economic Opportunity Analysis Report. These include a virtual presentation to the Planning Commission on 5/27/25 and an in-person presentation to City Council on June 3. rd Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 15 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 167 AA:SR PPENDIX URVEY ESULTS About the Respondent Exhibit 1. Where do you live? (Survey Total, All Respondents) Exhibit 2. Where do you work? (Survey Total, All Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 16 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 168 Exhibit 3. AshlandResident Working Location vs AshlandWorker Living Location, 2025(Ashland Residents and Ashland Workers) 200 Ashland Resident Working Location,174 180 Medford,16 160 Ashland Worker 140 Living Location,126 Other,60 120 Medford,14 Other,14 100 80 60 Ashland,98Ashland,98 40 20 0 Exhibit 4. What is your living situation? (AshlandResidents Only) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 17 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 169 Exhibit 5.What is your work situation? (Ashland Workers Only) Respondent Demographics Exhibit 6. What is your gender? (Survey Total, Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 18 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 170 Exhibit 7.What is your race / ethnicity? (Survey Total, Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 19 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 171 Exhibit 8. What language(s) is / are spoken at your home? (Survey Total) Other languages spoken at home included Spanish, Mandarin and Russian. Exhibit 9. What is your age?(Survey Total, Ashland Respondents) Exhibit 10. What is your household income? (Survey Total, Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 20 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 172 Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 21 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 173 Local Business Demographics Exhibit 11. Are you a business owner (or otherwise representing a business-interest)? (Survey Total) Yes 146 31% No 319 69% Exhibit 12. Where is your business located? (Survey Total) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 22 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 174 Ashland’s Business Community Exhibit 13. What industry does your business operate in? (AshlandBusiness Respondents) (N=79) Source: Survey, 2025; CAI 2025 Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 23 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 175 Exhibit 14. How long has your business been in operation? (Survey Total Business Respondents, Ashland Business Respondents) Exhibit 15. How many employees do you have(Survey TotalBusiness Respondents, Ashland Business Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 24 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 176 Exhibit 16. Approximately what proportionof your employees workfull time, part time, seasonally, remotely, hybrid, and/or outside of the Rogue Valley? (All Business Respondents) (Ashland Businesses Only) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 25 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 177 Exhibit 17. Select all that apply to your business: (Survey TotalBusiness Respondents, Ashland Business Respondents) Exhibit 18. Does your business have plans to expand and grow in Jackson County in the next five years? (AshlandBusiness Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 26 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 178 Exhibit 19. Please rank these challenges according to their importance for your business. (AshlandBusiness Respondents) Exhibit 20. What are your biggest workforce challenges? (Ashland Business Respondents) Other responses largely included businesses which did not relate to having workforce-related challenges. Some example responses include, “we have excellent people and pay them well”, “we are family owned and operated only”, and “I am a solo practitioner with no workforce challenges”. Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 27 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 179 Exhibit 21. What economic factors (local or broader) have the most significant impact on your business? (e.g., inflation, taxation, real estate costs, labor costs, supply chain, etc.) (Open Ended) (Ashland Business Respondents) Inflation 48% Real Estate Costs/Utilities 32% Labor Costs/Wages 32% Decline in Business 18% Regulations 13% Taxes 13% N=62 Mentions=103 Supply Chain 10% 0%20%40%60%80%100% Mentions Exhibit 22. Is there anything else you’d like to share about your business’s needs, challenges, or future opportunities in Ashland?(Open Ended) (AshlandBusiness Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 28 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 180 Other comments include comments on public services, Ashland’s economy, and various areas where business owners have felt support was lacking. Responses to this question included; Some stability would be huge relief! In the 8 years I've had the business we have had to contend with 2 of the worst smoke summers, lack of snow in winter, construction impeding business access, COVID- 19, the Almeda fire, a fire in my building causing business closure for 2 years, moving to a new location after struggling to find one, starting over with new staff, and funding 2 commercial build-outs of a retail space. I was also personally homeless for a year. Post office in this city overwhelmed and subpar. City needs to clean up or bus out the homeless population. need more technology skills coming out of the local university Our business property is located at the north entrance of the city, and is highly visible to incoming visitors. One of our major desires is to landscape this visible front bank, but (after some considerable research) we see that to do so is totally unaffordable, what with the cost of landscaping and subsequent water demands. After my initial introduction (self initiated) I never felt any kind of support from our local Chamber. No reaching out to see what kind of help or support. No follow up after my initial introduction and phone calls. No support on local special events such as the 4th of July Parade, Halloween Parade or Mystery Fest. Felt I was pretty much left to my own devices and the support I was able to garner from other small local businesses. I was looking towards the Ashland area as a potential place to break ground on a new technology venture, but over the past few years it has wandered away from desirability in this sphere; Medford is potentially in reach, but there is less and less to attract me away from more urban technology center such as Portland, Seattle or San Francisco, and there are less of the incentives normally found in secondary tech hubs such as Boise , Raleigh etc. City has done no improvements to the downtown core. There are no public restrooms for our tourists to use. We have 1000’s of acres of parks and no restrooms are ever open for tourists to use. City keeps stealing public parking for its employees along Winburn way and none for people using Lithia park. We would like to expand our business into more high end wedding and events. Ideally we would like to open another shop in Medford. Summer is very slow sometimes don’t have enough money to pay Wheelchair and mobility impaired accessibility is a big problem. Office space with these features tends to be prohibitively expensive for small practitioners. I want to quit this survey. There is no queer-owned or Black-owned or Indigenous options on the previous screen. Yes, I see you had an Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 29 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 181 option for minorities and women, but the lack of diversity in this survey is indicative of why I'm struggling with keeping my business in the Rogue Valley. The lack of diversity here, and how it's reflected in every facet of business, leaves me feeling very isolated and discouraged. We look forward to continued growth. The sky is the limit for film and media production in Southern Oregon We are selling and investing in Vancouver Canada and not this country or this climate Better regional transportation is a primary driver for our business. This is both locally in Ashland for a tourism-focused transportation option, but also regionally to connect Medford with tourism options in the south end of the valley for locals. Current Perceptions of Ashland Respondents were asked if they wanted to answer questions for Medford, Ashland or both. The following exhibits include responses that were indicated for Ashland or both. Exhibit 23. Consider these features in the City of Ashland. Please indicate on the following scale whether each is an economic advantage (on the right) or disadvantage (on the left). \[Scale 1 – 5\](N=289) (Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 30 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 182 Exhibit 24. Please rank these strengths and assets in order of their importance for Ashland’seconomic future(N=281) (Ashland Respondents) Exhibit 25. How supportive is the local government in helping businesses thrive?(Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 31 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 183 Exhibit 26. Thinking of Ashland, what concerns do you have, if any, regarding equity in the economy or in economic development? (Open Ended)(Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 32 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 184 Economic Vision and Opportunities Respondents were asked if they wanted to answer questions about Medford’s economy, Ashland’s economy or both. The following exhibits include responses that were indicated for Ashland or both. Exhibit 27. Thinking of the City of Ashland, please rate the listed economic opportunities and/or strategic consideration from an economic development perspective on a scale of 1-10 (low to high priority). (N=298) (Ashland Respondents) Lower PriorityHigher Priority 6.2 Industry Growth 6.6 Combat Climate Change 6.7 Retail And Services 6.9 Inclusive/Diverse Economy 7.0 Workforce Development 7.1 Regional Partnership/Collaboration 7.3 Existing Companies/Reduce Displacement 7.4 New Businesses 7.4 Entrepreneurship/Innovation 7.7 Small Businesses 8.1 Livable Wages/ Upward Mobility Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 33 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 185 Exhibit 28. What changes or improvements would you like to see in Ashland’sbusiness environment?(Open Ended) (Ashland Respondents) Exhibit 29. What is your vision for Ashland’seconomy of the future?(Open- Ended) (Ashland Respondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 34 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 186 Exhibit 30. What is one ‘big idea’ you have for Ashland? (Open Ended) (Ashland Respondents) Exhibit 31. Is there a different city that you wish for Ashlandto take lessons from? What are the characteristics of that city that appeal to you? (Open Ended) (AshlandRespondents) Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 35 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 187 Other cities mentioned included places across several continents, but other cities in Oregon, California and Washington were mentioned most frequently. Exhibit 32. Do you have anything else you would like to share with us? (Open Ended) (Ashland Respondents) Other responses largely included either appreciation for Ashland or complaints about political scenarios in Ashland or about questions in the survey surrounding diversity. Cronyism doesn't work Diversity is killing this town. Why to liberal. We need to take down the bird feeders. Support our police and fire more! Get city employees back to offices. Get code compliance officer to do job take a look at ads for short term rentals make it fair for licensed businesses Get the religious/conservative/elitist thinking people out of local government Getting permit to make home office to build company in Ashland was a pane in the neck they did not understand how small start ups grow into larger companies and employ people at a higher pay rate than service workers Hire more recreation staff!! How soon can we elect new council or recall present one. It’s pathetic stop spending money that isn’t yours I HATE that you're asking about stupid things like gender and ethnicity for a business survey. The fact that you ask at all reveals Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 36 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 188 that you believe in some kind of racisim that doesn't exist out here in the real business world. This is completely out of touch with what actual business think about. Wake up please. I have a medical practice in Medford and I have a license that I can’t use in Medford so I have to drive Ashland to service clients there. I am thankful we can help people but Medford needs to get it’s priorities straight. I have a small business that doesn't depend on local sales or local people, except a bit in the area of film - talent and crew. So my responses are not probably that helpful. I hope nobody is mad or offended by my answers. Please don't make my life hard by retaliation. I love Ashland so much, for its culture/nature balance and being a University town. I collect all the mentions we get on Best-of lists. If Jackson County does not increase its healthcare access; the future is very bleak. So OR is on the brink of turning into a healthcare desert. I've never met anyone who started a 'multicultural' business (page 3). And I'm unclear if the question about a '..broadly inclusive and diverse...' economy is asking about types of businesses or someone's skin color. Perhaps a little less woo and a little more recognition that we should simply be looking at all types of business will make for a better conversation and, fingers crossed, produce good results. The above suggestions are relatively inexpensive, can be implemented without delay, and will pay handsome returns to both the city’s business community and the community itself. Let's work against misinformation, especially health misinformation based on pseudoscience. This is not a healthy thing for our local culture. No more parades or events in ashland please. North Mountain Park could be an attractor to locals and tourists alike, but many beat-up cars and shady people allowed to hang out there. People walk their dogs there thinking it's okay because they're not right next to the nature center. Neighbors use it as a parking lot for their cars. It's hard to get in and out of the parking that runs from Hershey to the nature center, because there are no stop signs and cars travel on North Mountain Ave at a high rate of speed. It could be so much better. "One city's motto of Better Together is a joke. If you are on one side of the fence, then you can be together, but if you are on the other side of the fence you are evil, part of the problem, a bigot, transphobic, racist, fascist pig. The Center of It All., well that is telling the truth. You can be on either side of the fence in that town, and not be called names that divide people. Maybe the one city's motto should be We, the City, Can Do Better. It sure ain't together." Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 37 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 189 Perhaps you should have some questions about taxes. Please get your heads out of your ass and use some common sense when planning projects for the city. Get rid of diverse hires and promote people who know how to do the job. Please refrain from any references to climate change, that is a fraud. Recallcouncil Thanks for asking. We need a regional economic development strategy and EDO. The city should be better at following their own rules — for example, the new sidewalk signage pilot program says we cannot use plastic, but the city’s sandwich boards are plastic! The energy of volunteers in and for the city of Ashland and for nearby cities is admirable. The political and ideological biases of the people that created the survey are showing. I think that the city needs to examine that and make some decisions on whether or not those ideologies are really helping advance, southern Oregon economic interests or harming them. The Rogue Valley has incredible potential, but I think people are so busy trying to get by that they don't realize how much more it could be if there was a focus on something more than short-sighted short term solutions. The Rogue Valley is an awesome place to live but it could be better The survey was quite interesting. The Valley seems like it is about to fall into the same issues that bigger cities do. We can change direction now and maybe make some good things happen! Thank you for all of your hard work. There are plenty of affordable/cheaper places to live in the United States. Stop attempting to provide “affordable” housing. If it’s too expensive to live here, look for a place that’s less expensive. We should have more interaction with the police department. Why is Russian an option for spoken language? Seriously? Let all the food-trucks use the Rogue Valley Mall parking lot(s) for at least 1 day out of each month and get people out and rubbing elbows with one another. That needs to happen. Yeah you should really ask myself or stop listening to the people that have gotten you all here and think about those you have decided to listen to without checking there work I’ve witnessed so much waste of money from private and government money all supposed to help the citizens and I have been threw and seen what’s happening what actually help and what is a total scam and theft of money Ashland EOA May 20, 2025 Page 38 DRAFT Outreach Summary Total Page Number: 190